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1 Timothy Vermeer, Massachusetts' Graduated Income Tax Amendment Threatens the Commonwealth's Economic Transformation 1 (2022)

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Massachusetts' Graduated Income Tax

AmendmentThreatens the Commonwealth's

Economic Transformation


FISCAL
FACT
No. 799
Sept. 2022


Timothy Vermeer


Senior Policy Analyst


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Key  Findings

   •  Massachusetts' tax advantage in New England is primarily driven by its
      competitive individual income tax rate and its sales and use tax structure.

   •  The graduated income  tax amendment  would be paid by many small
      businesses, in addition to wealthy individuals.

   •  The proposed  surtax is likely to have negative economic effects that will
      impact low- and middle-income earners.

   •  If approved, the graduated income tax could contract the Massachusetts
      economy  by $6 billion by end of 2025.

   •  Massachusetts  has seen net outmigration of adjusted gross income (AGI)
      since 1993, resulting in $23 billion of AGI flowing to other states.

   •  Florida and New Hampshire, two  states with no individual income tax,
      are consistently the top destinations for net outmigration of AGI from
      Massachusetts.

   •  The graduated income  tax amendment  is likely to exacerbate the net
      outmigration of AGI from Massachusetts as taxpayers adjust their behaviors
      to the tax increase.

   •  Responding to potential negative economic effects of the surtax by repealing
      or adjusting the rate would require another constitutional amendment, which
      would take years to accomplish.

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