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1 Scott Drenkard, Cigarette Taxes and Cigarette Smuggling by State, 2015 1 (2017)

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FISCAL
FACT
No. 565
Nov. 2017


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Editor, Rachel Shuster
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Cigarette Taxes and Cigarette

Smuggling by State, 2015

Scott Drenkard
Director of State Projects


Key Findings:

   *  Excessive tax rates on cigarettes approach de facto prohibition in some
      states, inducing black and gray market movement  of tobacco products into
      high-tax states from low-tax states or foreign sources.

   *  New  York has the highest inbound smuggling activity, with an estimated 56.8
      percent of cigarettes consumed in the state deriving from smuggled sources
      in 2015. New  York is followed by Arizona (44.8 percent of consumption
      smuggled), Washington  (43.7 percent), New Mexico  (41.4 percent), and
      Minnesota  (35.9 percent).

   *  New  Hampshire  has the highest level of outbound smuggling at 71.9 percent
      of consumption, likely due to its relatively low tax rates and proximity to
      high-tax states in the northeastern United States. Following New Hampshire
      is Idaho (22.5 percent outbound smuggling), Virginia (20.7 percent), Delaware
      (20.3 percent), and West Virginia (18.4 percent).

   *  Vermont,  following a cigarette tax increase from $2.62 to $2.75 in midyear
      2014, has seen a decrease in how much  is smuggled out of the state from
      10.4 percent to 5.5 percent of consumption.

   *  Cigarette tax rates increased in 31 states and the District of Columbia
      between  2006  and 2015.

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