4 J. on Migration & Hum. Sec. 1 (2016)

handle is hein.journals/jmighs4 and id is 1 raw text is: 

       Journal on Migration
       and Human Security

US Undocumented Population

Drops Below 11 Million in 2014,

with Continued Declines in

the Mexican Undocumented


Robert Warren
Center for Migration Studies

    Executive Summary
    Undocumented immigration has been a significant political issue in recent
    years, and is likely to remain so throughout and beyond the presidential
    election year of 2016. One reason for the high and sustained level of interest
    in undocumented immigration is the widespread belief that the trend in
    the undocumented population is ever upward. This paper shows that this
    belief is mistaken and that, in fact, the undocumented population has been
    decreasing for more than a half a decade. Other findings of the paper that
    should inform the immigration debate are the growing naturalized citizen
    populations in almost every US state and the fact that, since 1980, the
    legally resident foreign-born population from Mexico has grown faster than
    the undocumented population from Mexico.

This paper sets forth detailed estimates of the US undocumented population in 2014 by the
Center for Migration Studies of New York (CMS). It reports that the total undocumented
population declined in 2014, as it has done in each year since 2008. The population fell
below 11 million for the first time since 2004. The Mexican-born undocumented population
also continued its steady decline; the population has fallen by more than 600,000 since
This paper describes trends in the undocumented population over the past few years for
selected countries of origin and states of residence. The annual estimates for 2010 to 2014
were derived by CMS based on statistics on the foreign-born population collected in the
Census Bureau's American Community Survey (ACS),' as described in Warren (2014).
1 The ACS is an annual statistical survey covering approximately 1 percent of the total US population. The
survey gathers information previously obtained in the decennial census - the ACS questionnaires are very
similar to the 2000 Census long form. The survey provides detailed social and economic data for all states, as
well as all cities, counties, metropolitan areas, and population groups of 100,000 people or more.

           2016 by the Center for Migration Studies of New York. All rights reserved.

JMHS Volume 4 Number 1 (2016): 1-15

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