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50 Foreign Aff. 459 (1971-1972)
The Essential Domino: American Politics and Vietman

handle is hein.journals/fora50 and id is 469 raw text is: THE ESSENTIAL DOMINO:
AMERICAN POLITICS AND VIETNAM
By Leslie H. Gelb
Henry Kissinger has written, public support is the acid
Atest of a foreign policy. For a President to be successful
in maintaining his nation's security he needs to believe, and
others need to believe, that he has solid support at home. It was
President Johnson's judgment that if the United States permitted
the fall of Vietnam to communism, American politics would turn
ugly and inward and the world would be a less safe place in which
to live. Later, President Nixon would declare: The right way
out of Vietnam is crucial to our changing role in the world, and
the peace in the world. In order to gain support for these judg-
ments and the objectives in Vietnam which flowed from them, our
Presidents have had to weave together the steel-of-war strategy
with the strands of domestic politics.
Neither the Americans nor the Vietnamese communists had
good odds for a traditional military victory in Vietnam. Given
the mutual will to continue the war and self-imposed American
restraint in the use of force, stalemate was the most likely out-
come.
This common perception had a critical impact on the strategies
of both sides. It meant that the winner would be the one whose
will to persist gave out first. Hanoi's will, because of the nature
of its government, society and economy, and because the North
Vietnamese were fighting in and for their country, was firmer
by far than Washington's. Washington's will, because of the
vagaries of American politics and the widespread dislike of in-
terminable and indeterminate Asian land wars, presented an in-
viting target. For both sides, then, U.S. domestic politics-
public support and opposition to the war-was to be the key
stress point.
American public opinion was the essential domino. Our lead-
ers knew it. Hanoi's leaders knew it. Each geared its strategy-
both the rhetoric and the conduct of the war-to this fact.
Hanoi adopted what seems to have been a two-pronged strat-
egy to cause U.S. withdrawal from Vietnam by playing on Amer-
ican domestic politics. The first aim was to try to convince
Americans that unless U.S. forces withdrew, the killing of Amer-

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