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31 Criminology 549 (1993)
Probation and Parole: Public Risk and the Future of Incarceration Alternatives

handle is hein.journals/crim31 and id is 559 raw text is: PROBATION AND PAROLE: PUBLIC RISK
AND THE FUTURE OF INCARCERATION
ALTERNATIVES*
MICHAEL R. GEERKEN
HENNESSEY D. HAYES
The Orleans Parish Criminal Sheriff's Office and Tulane
University
Jail and prison populations in the United States have continued to grow
unabated during the past two decades but crime rates have not declined.
Partly in response to the pressures caused by burgeoning correctional
populations, the use of alternatives to incarceration has expanded. An
ongoing debate centers on the effectiveness of these alternatives. Many
criminal justice professionals and some researchers question whether such
alternatives seriously restrict the criminal justice system 's ability to inca-
pacitate the active offender. This study deals specifically with two alterna-
tives to incarceration: probation and parole. We examine offender
recidivism for a sample of probationers and parolees active in New Orle-
ans, Louisiana, and offer a new approach to addressing the effectiveness
issue. Past research has evaluated the effectiveness of alternatives by
examining failure rates of diverted offenders. High failure rates, we
argue, do not necessarily imply a significant loss of the incapacitative
effects of imprisonment. We suggest that a more appropriate measure of
the loss of incapacitative effect is the proportion of all offenses committed
by persons on probation or parole. Our results suggest that such losses are
surprisingly low. The policy implications of our findings are discussed.
The use of alternatives to incarceration has become very controversial in
recent years. Rapidly increasing jail and prison populations have led to calls
for increasing the use of alternatives, while continued high crime rates have
led to demands for reductions in their use through mandatory sentencing and
tough sentencing guidelines.
The contradictory pressures of jail and prison overcrowding and high
crime rates have resulted in a heated debate over the continued use of alterna-
tives to incarceration. Proponents of alternatives believe that diversion from
* This research was supported by the National Institute of Justice, U.S. Department of
Justice, grants 86-IJ-CX-0021 and 90-IJ-CX-0019. Contents of this document do not
necessarily reflect the views or policies of the National Institute of Justice or the U.S.
Department of Justice. We would like to thank Sheriff Charles C. Foti, Jr., for his
invaluable cooperation and support of this project, as well as James D. Wright, Joseph
Sheley, and several anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments on earlier versions of
this paper.

CRIMINOLOGY VOLUME 31 NUMBER 4 1993

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