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95 Colum. L. Rev. 609 (1995)
Paint-by-Numbers Tax Lawmaking

handle is hein.journals/clr95 and id is 619 raw text is: PAINT-BY-NUMBERS TAX LAWMAKING

Michaelj Graetz*
Introduction  ....................................................  609
I. The Relevant Staffs ........................................  614
II.  Distributional Tables ......................................  617
A. Impossible Goals and Impractical Tasks ................   619
B. Where Has Gini Gone? ................................     620
C. Staff Disagreements in Constructing Distributional
Tables .......................................           624
1. Distributing Changes in Taxes vs. Changes in
Burden . .........................................  624
2. The Measurement of Income ......................      634
3. The Unit of Analysis: Families, Couples, Individuals,
or Households .....................................   637
4. The Relevant Time Horizon ........................    640
5. Tax Incidence Assumptions ........................    640
D. Controversial Areas of Staff Agreement ................   647
1. Tax Capitalization and Implicit Taxes ..............  647
2. Lifetime vs. Annual Income ........................   651
3. Distributing Transfers as Well as Taxes .............  657
4. Benefit Taxes and User Charges ....................   661
5. Mandates and Regulations .........................    661
6.  Federalism   ..........................................  664
7. International Aspects ...............................  665
E. A Preliminary Conclusion Regarding Distribution
Tables .................................... ; ............  666
Ill.  Revenue Estimates ........................................  668
A. Overview of the Revenue Estimating Process ...........    668
B. Asking the Wrong Question ...........................     672
Conclusion  .....................................................  678
INTRODUCTION
Although their meaning and contours have long been controversial,
the general criteria for evaluating changes in tax law enjoy both stability
and consensus. At least since Adam Smith, there has been virtually uni-
versal agreement that the nation's tax law should be fair, economically
efficient, and simple to comply with and to administer. Tax law changes
* Justus S. Hotchkiss Professor of Law, Yale Law School. I want to thank William
Andrews, David Bradford, Daniel Halperin, Louis Kaplow, Alvin Klevorick, Jeff Lehman,
Reed Shuldiner, Alvin Warren, and participants in conferences and workshops at the
American Enterprise Institute, the Harvard Law School, the University of Pennsylvania Law
School, and Yale Law School for helpful comments. I also want to thankJose Esteves for
producing the graphs contained herein, Anand Raman for research assistance, and the
American Enterprise Institute for financial assistance.

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