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99 Foreign Aff. 110 (2020)
Giving up on God: The Global Decline of Religion

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Giving Up on God


The Global Decline of Religion

Ronald F Inglehart


In the early   years of the twenty-first century, religion seemed to
    be on the rise. The collapse of both communism and the Soviet
    Union  had left an ideological vacuum that was being filled by
Orthodox  Christianity in Russia and other post-Soviet states. The
election in the United States of President George W. Bush, an evan-
gelical Christian who made no  secret of his piety, suggested that
evangelical Christianity was rising as a political force in the country.
And  the 9/11 attacks directed international attention to the power of
political Islam in the Muslim world.
   A dozen years ago, my  colleague Pippa Norris and I analyzed
data on religious trends in 49 countries, including a few subnational
territories such as Northern Ireland, from which survey evidence was
available from 1981 to 2007 (these countries contained 60 percent
of the world's population). We did not find a universal resurgence of
religion, despite claims to that effect-most high-income countries
became  less religious-but we did find that in 33 of the 49 countries
we studied, people became more religious during those years. This
was true in most former communist  countries, in most developing
countries, and even in a number  of high-income  countries. Our
findings made it clear that industrialization and the spread of sci-
entific knowledge were not causing religion to disappear, as some
scholars had once assumed.
  But since 2007, things have changed with surprising speed. From about
2007 to 2019, the overwhelming majority of the countries we studied-43
out of 49-became less religious. The decline in belief was not confined
to high-income countries and appeared across most of the world.

RONALD F. INGLEHART is Amy and Alan Lowenstein Professor Emeritus of Democracy,
Democratization, and Human Rights at the University of Michigan and the author of the
forthcoming book Religion's Sudden Decline: What's Causing It and What Comes Next?


110  FOREIGN   AFFAIRS

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