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96 Pol. Sci. Q. 1 (1981-1982)

handle is hein.journals/pclscceqry96 and id is 1 raw text is: The Brittle Mandate: Electoral Dealignment and the 1980 Presidential Election EVERETT CARLL LADD In the wake of the 1980 presidential balloting, an important debate has sprung up over what the election results actually mean and what their long-term consequences are likely to be. On the one side are those who argue that a marked ideological change has occurred in the United States in recent years- the populace has swung to the right- and that Ronald Reagan and the Republicans are building what is likely to be a lasting new majority on the more conservative public mood. On the other side are proponents of the view that the election was simply the rejection of an ineffective president who had to confront some intractable problems, and that at most the GOP won an opportunity to show that it could govern successfully. This is not the first time in modern politics, of course, that some observers have detected the emergence of a coherent new majority. In the Eisenhower years, many concluded that the growing post-World War II prosperity, manifested in the burgeoning new suburbs, was prompting a long-term shift to the Republicans.I Then, between 1968 and 1973, a number of students of American I For statements of this Republican realignment position in the 1950s, see Louis Harris, Is There a Republican Majority? (New York: Harper & Brothers, 1954); Edward Banfield, The Changing Political Environment of City Planning (Paper delivered to the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Ill., September 1956); Frederick Lewis Allen, The Big EVERETT CARLL LADD is professor of political science and director of the Institute for Social Inquiry at the University of Connecticut and executive director of The Roper Center for Public Opinion Research. He is the author of numerous books and articles on American political parties and elections, including Transformation of the American Party System, 2d ed., rev. (with Charles Hadley), American Political Parties, and Where Have All the Voters Gone? Political Science Quarterly Volume 96 Number 1 Spring 1981

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