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94 Pol. Sci. Q. 1 (1979-1980)

handle is hein.journals/pclscceqry94 and id is 1 raw text is: Patterns of Ethnic Succession: Blacks and Hispanics in New York City DANIEL PATRICK MOYNIHAN Ethnic succession is one of the pronounced rhythms in the life of New York City. Political scientists will recognize it as a homely variant of Pareto's circulation of elites, and it seems fair to take it as a measure of the vigor of our society and our capacity for self-renewal. In the late 1950s Nathan Glazer and I, collaborating on a study of the ethnic groups of New York City, saw ethnic succession as a central dynamic of the city's organizational life. At that time, for example, the Irish had dominated the political life of the city for generations; yet just as clearly they were departing that scene, and this was the opening observation in our chapter devoted to them. Indeed, in the aftermath of the municipal elections of 1977 there was (for what a diligent researcher would probably find to be the first time in at least a century) not a single Irish name on the Board of Estimate, the central governing body of the city made up of the mayor, the comptroller, the president of the city council, and the five borough presidents. Ethnic succession was not, however, the central theme of our study, which had as its more elemental purpose the mere assertion that ethnicity was still a force in the life of New York City (and by extension, the nation) and was not go- ing away. The first proposition received grudging assent at the time; at election season the editorials deploring the persistence of the balanced ticket were as predictable as the accompanying admonition to all citizens to make certain to vote. (So much for the influence of editorialists. The balanced ticket cheerfully persists while voting participation steadily declinesl) But the thought that DANIEL PATRICK MOYNIHAN, a sometime professor of political science, is United States Senator from New York. His books include Beyond the Melting Pot, Toward a National Urban Policy, Ethnicity, and, most recently, A Dangerous Place. This article is adapted from The 1978 Public Affairs Lecture sponsored by the Graduate Program in Public Affairs and Adminis- tration at Columbia University. Political Science Quarterly Volumne94 Numberi Spring1979

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