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39 Pol. Sci. Q. 1 (1924)

handle is hein.journals/pclscceqry39 and id is 1 raw text is: Volume XXXIX] POLITICAL SCIENCE QUARTERLY THE AGRARIAN PHASE OF THE MEXICAN REVO- LUTION OF 1910-1920 IN 1889 Sebastian Lerdo de Tejada, who had been driven from the presidency of Mexico by the revolution of Porfirio Diaz in 1876, wrote from his exile in New York City: I prophesy for Mexico, within a period of ten years, the most terrific and sweeping of revolutions: not a sterile struggle of outworn political parties, but a tremendous social revolution. No one will be able to prevent it or to arrest its progress; its development is slow and latent like those sub- terranean forces that produce cosmic cataclysms.' Lerdo de Tejada's calculation erred by only a trifle over a decade; he underestimated the power and longevity of his successor. Mexico's history since the early part of the nineteenth century has been that of a struggle between the proletariat, threatened with extinction, and the privileged classes-the clergy and the landed aristocracy. The large mass of the Indian population, accustomed for centuries to a form of local self-government, might have been fitted quite readily into a modern system of administration, had not social and economic causes operated virtually to enslave them. The ills of the country are, and always have been, mainly social and economic, not political. Political commotions, though frequent, have been evanescent, confined to a small area, and limited to the few who thirsted for power and to such a following as their demagogical methods could procure. ISebastisin Lerdo de Tejada, Memorias (Mexico, 1896), pp. 148-149. March, 1924 [Number r

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