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8 J. Forensic Psychiatry & Psych. 1 (1997)

handle is hein.journals/jnlofncpy8 and id is 1 raw text is: EDITORIALS On the risks of risk prediction RONALD PRICE I just make them go up, Who cares where they come down? That's not my department, Says Werner von Braun. (Tom Lehrer) One hesitates to cast in broad terms the concerns giving rise to this editorial when one is aware that the essence of the matter has been so well captured elsewhere. In an article in the publication History of the Human Sciences, Nikolas Rose writes: [W]e have recently witnessed, within psychiatry [and the 'psy- disciplines'], a shift from dangerousness to risk. Whilst dangerousness is a property of the concrete individual, risk ... is a combination of factors which are not necessarily dangerous in themselves.... Problems previously understood in other ways are recoded in the language of risk. A ... feature of the new mentalities of risk is ... significant in relation to psychiatry. This is the way in which the notion of risk reshapes the obligations of psychiatric professionals: risk management and risk reduction, as logics for professional action, have come to supplement or replace other forms of professional action and judgement.... The logic of prediction comes to replace the logic of diagnosis - and this is a logic at which the psychiatrist can claim no special competence. What is at stake is the classification of the subjects of psychiatry in terms of likely future conduct, their riskiness to the community and them- selves, and the identification of the steps necessary to manage that conduct.... Hence the 'multidisciplinary team'... emerges less out of recognition of the diagnostic and curative significance of different sorts The Journal of Forensic Psychiatry Vol 8 No 1 May 1997 1-4 © Routledge 1997 ISSN 0958-5184

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