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GAO-10-146R 1 (2009-12-16)

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         GAO
       Account bility  Integrity * Reliability
United States Government Accountability Office
Washington, DC 20548

         December 16, 2009

         The Honorable Carolyn B. Maloney
         Chair
         Joint Economic Committee
         House of Representatives

         The Honorable Charles E. Schumer
         Vice Chairman
         Joint Economic Committee
         United States Senate

         Subject: Loan Performance and Negative Home Equity in the Nonprime
         Mortgage Market

         As we reported to you in July 2009, the number of nonprime mortgage
         originations (including subprime and Alt-A loans) grew rapidly from 2000 through
         2006, a period during which average house prices appreciated dramatically.' In
         dollar terms, the nonprime share of mortgage originations rose from about 12
         percent ($125 billion) in 2000 to approximately 34 percent ($1 trillion) in 2006.
         These mortgages have been associated with what was subsequently recognized as
         a speculative housing bubble. As house prices subsequently fell, the subprime and
         Alt-A market segments contracted sharply, and very few nonprime originations
         were made after mid-2007. Borrowers who had obtained nonprime mortgages
         earlier in the decade increasingly fell behind on their mortgage payments, helping
         to push default and foreclosure rates to historical highs.

         Economic conditions and a weak housing market have contributed to the increase
         in troubled loans. In particular, falling house prices have left many borrowers in a
         negative equity position-that is, their mortgage balances exceed the current
         value of their homes. Negative equity makes borrowers more vulnerable to
         foreclosure by, among other factors, limiting their ability to sell or refinance their
         homes in the event they cannot stay current on their mortgage payments.

         To inform congressional decision making about efforts to address problems in the
         mortgage market, you requested that we examine the evolution and condition of
         the market for nonprime loans. On July 28, 2009, we provided you with an interim
         report on certain characteristics of nonprime loans and borrowers, and the
         performance of nonprime mortgages originated from 2000 through 2007 (the last
         year in which substantial numbers of nonprime mortgages were made) as of

         See GAO, Characteristics and Performance of Nonprime Mortgages, GAO-09-848R (Washington,
         D.C.: July 28, 2009).


GAO-10-146R Nonprime Mortgages


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