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Congressional Research Service
Informing the legislative debate since 1914


                                                                                              Updated  April 25, 2025

The ShakeAlert Earthquake Early Warning System


Portions of all 50 states, as well as U.S. territories and the
District of Columbia, are vulnerable to earthquake hazards
(e.g., ground shaking) and associated risks (e.g., exposure
of people or property to ground shaking) to varying degrees
(Figure 1). Among  the costliest U.S. earthquake disasters
was the 1994 magnitude  6.7 Northridge earthquake in
California, which caused about 60 fatalities and more than
7,000 injuries; left about 20,000 homeless; damaged more
than 40,000 buildings; and caused an estimated $13-$20
billion in economic losses.

Congress established the National Earthquake Hazards
Reduction Program  (NEHRP),  involving the U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS),  National Science Foundation
(NSF), Federal Emergency  Management   Agency  (FEMA),
and National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST),
in 1977 to reduce earthquake risks. In the NEHRP
Reauthorization Act of 2018 (P.L. 115-307), Congress
directed the USGS to implement an effective earthquake
early warning system to reduce risks.

Figure  1. USGS  Seismic  Hazard  Model,  2023

                                     Chance of slight
                                     orgreater) damaging
                                 _   earthquake shaking in
                                     100 Iyears
                                              * >95
                                                75-95
                Alaska                          50-75
                                                25 50
                                                <5 Z


Source: Mark D. Peterson et al., The 2023 U.S. 50-State National
Seismic Hazard Model: Overview and Implications, Earthquake
Spectra, vol. 40, no. 1 (2024), DOI: 10.1 177/87552930231215428.
Notes: Map displays the likelihood of damaging earthquake shaking
(equivalent or greater than Modified Mercalli Intensity VI) in the
United States over the next 100 years. Earthquakes cannot be
predicted, nor can the potential for an earthquake to reoccur in
areas with some seismic history be ruled out. The model uses
existing faults and past earthquakes to forecast the probability of


future earthquakes and uses the geology to estimate how much the
ground shakes during an earthquake.

Earthquake  early warning (EEW)  may reduce earthquake
risks (i.e., reduce fatalities and injuries, as well as damage
to structures and operations). EEW refers to sending a
warning that an earthquake was detected and damaging
ground shaking may  be coming (Figure 2). An EEW
received in tens of seconds to minutes before shaking may
allow individuals to take protective actions and institutions
to engage automated protective actions (Table 1).

Figure  2. Schematic  of the ShakeAlert  System


source: JnakeAlert.
Notes: Once an earthquake starts (star labeled epicenter on a fault),
the earthquake-sensing network (sensors) detects the P-waves (yellow
curve and arrow) at sensors closest to the epicenter. The sensors
transmit data to data processing centers. The centers process the
data and, if the earthquake may be damaging, prepare alert messages
with information about the earthquake's magnitude and location and
what areas may receive intense shaking from the later-arriving, more
damaging S-waves (red curve and arrow). Public and private
communication pathways convert the alert messages into EEWs and
send them to individuals and institutions in endangered areas.

The USGS   and other federal, state, academic, and private
partners began public EEW  on the West Coast via the
ShakeAlert Earthquake  Early Warning System  in California
in 2019 and in Oregon and Washington  in 2021. There have
been some  feasibility studies about implementing
ShakeAlert in Alaska, Hawaii, Nevada, and Utah.

An  EEW  system consists of the following components
(Figure 2 and Figure 3):

*  an understanding of earthquakes and faults to determine
   where  to locate an earthquake-sensing network;

*  an earthquake-sensing network, including seismic and
   geodetic sensors, to detect the start of an earthquake;

*  robust and rapid telemetry;

*  data analysis and alert decisionmaking;


https://crsreports.congress.gov

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