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                                                                                                   May 17, 2019

Venezuela: International Efforts to Resolve the Political Crisis


Background
The international community remains divided over how to
respond to the political crisis in Venezuela. The United
States and 54 other countries have formally recognized the
interim government of Juan Guaid6, who Venezuela's
democratically elected National Assembly named president.
These countries have undertaken a variety of initiatives to
place pressure on authoritarian leader NicolAs Maduro, in
power since 2013, and facilitate a political transition. Other
countries, such as China, Cuba, Nicaragua, and Russia,
have provided diplomatic, financial, and military support to
Maduro, and have sought to block anti-Maduro actions
within international organizations. A third group of
countries, including Mexico, Norway, Uruguay and some
Caribbean nations, has remained neutral in the crisis.
These international dynamics appear to have contributed to
a political stalemate in Venezuela, even as conditions
within the country have continued to deteriorate. On April
30, a Guaid6-led, U.S.-backed uprising failed to garner
enough high-level military support to compel Maduro to
leave office. While some observers maintain that Maduro is
weak politically, others fear a prolonged, potentially violent
standoff between the respective supporters of Maduro and
Guaid6. Some observers hope that international action will
coalesce behind talks leading to the convening of free and
fair elections. Both sides have sent envoys to Norway for
exploratory talks on how to resolve the crisis, but actions
taken against the opposition by Maduro could hinder
progress in reaching a political solution.
United Nations (U.N.)
The U.N. Security Council (UNSC) has discussed the
political and humanitarian crisis in Venezuela, but divisions
within its members have stalled action. Russia, and to a
lesser extent, China, support Maduro. The United States,
and most countries in Europe and the Western Hemisphere,
support Guiad6. Despite that polarization, U.N. agencies
are increasing humanitarian relief within Venezuela after
securing approval in April from Maduro and Guaid6. The
U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) and the
International Organization for Migration (IOM) are
coordinating efforts to serve the roughly 3.7 million
Venezuelans who had left the country as of March 2019 and
the communities hosting them. The U.N. Human Rights
Council is investigating allegations of crimes against
humanity committed by security forces and armed militias
loyal to Maduro.
Organization of American States (OAS)
The OAS, a regional multilateral organization that includes
all 35 independent countries of the Western Hemisphere
(Cuba currently does not participate), has focused attention
on Venezuela's political crisis. Since 2016, OAS Secretary-
General Luis Almagro has issued a series of reports on the
deteriorating situation in Venezuela, convened special


sessions of the Permanent Council to discuss regional
responses to the crisis, and spoken out against Maduro.
Member states remain divided on how to respond to the
crisis, with countries in the Caribbean Community
(CARICOM) particularly reluctant to intervene in
Venezuela's internal affairs. Many of those countries had
close ties with Venezuela under Maduro's predecessor, the
late president Hugo ChAvez, and, until recently, received
significant amounts of subsidized oil from Venezuela. In
2017, Maduro denounced the OAS for meddling in his
country's domestic affairs and began a two-year process to
withdraw from the organization.
The OAS requires 18 votes to pass a resolution of the
Permanent Council. In June 2018, 19 of 34 member states
passed a resolution stating that the May 2018 presidential
election in Venezuela lacked legitimacy and authorizing
countries to take measures, including sanctions, necessary
to hasten a return to democracy. In January 2019, the same
19 states approved a resolution that refused to recognize the
legitimacy of Maduro's second term; called for new
presidential elections; and urged all member states to adopt
diplomatic, political, economic, and financial measures to
facilitate the prompt restoration of the democratic order in
Venezuela. After Maduro withdrew his OAS Ambassador,
the Permanent Council welcomed the Venezuelan National
Assembly's permanent representative to the OAS on April
9, 2019. Some observers have praised Secretary-General
Almagro's activism on Venezuela, which has included
calling for international intervention in the country. Others
have asserted that he has sided too closely with the
opposition, and is unlikely to help broker a diplomatic
solution to resolve the current crisis.
Lima Group
In mid-2017, efforts to reach a consensus on how to
respond to the crisis in Venezuela at the OAS appeared to
be stalling. On August 8, 2017, 12 Western Hemisphere
countries signed the Lima Accord, a document rejecting
what it described as the rupture of democracy and systemic
human rights violations in Venezuela. The signatory
countries included Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Chile,
Colombia, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico
Panama, Paraguay, and Peru. In 2018, Guyana and St.
Lucia joined the Lima Group, which did not recognize
Maduro's May 2018 reelection.
On January 4, 2019, 13 members of the Lima Group
(excluding Mexico) signed a declaration urging President
Maduro not to assume power on January 10, 2019. The
countries resolved to reassess their level of diplomatic
engagement with Venezuela, implement travel bans or
sanctions on Maduro officials (as Canada and Panama
have), suspend military cooperation with Venezuela, and
urge others in the international community to take similar
actions. Under leftist President Andr6s Manuel L6pez


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