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                                                                                            Updated April 12, 2019
The   Made in China 2025 Initiative: Economic Implications for the United States


Summary
China's incomplete transition to a free market economy
stands out as one of the biggest sources of trade friction
with the United States. Recent proposals by the Chinese
government, such as its Made in China 2025 (MIC 2025)
initiative, appear to signal an expanded role by the
government  in the economy, which many fear could distort
global markets and negatively affect U.S. firms. The Trump
Administration has made MIC 2025  a major focus of its
Section 301 actions (including increased tariffs) against
China over its alleged distortive policies related to
technology transfer, intellectual property, and innovation.

What   Is MIC 2025  and Why   Did  China  Propose  It?
Introduced by China's State Council (the highest Chinese
executive organ of state power) in May 2015, the MIC 2025
initiative is the latest in a series of ambitious state-led
programs introduced by the Chinese government that seek
to modernize the Chinese economy, boost productivity, and
make  innovation a driver of economic growth. One key
Chinese motivation for MIC 2025 is to avoid hitting the so-
called middle-income trap, a phenomenon that often
occurs to low-income countries that initially experience
rapid economic growth after implementing certain reforms.
Many  such countries are able to reach middle-income
levels, but eventually the factors that produced that growth
can no longer be sustained or the economic returns began to
diminish. Without new sources of growth, much slower
economic growth rates (or stagnation) can occur, preventing
a country from transitioning to a high-income economy
(hence the trap). While China is currently a high middle-
income economy,  it faces several economic challenges,
including unbalanced economic growth, high corporate
debt, severe pollution, and a declining working age
population, which could sharply slow future growth.
The MIC  2025 plan notes that China's manufacturing
sector is large but not strong, with obvious gaps in
innovation capacity, efficiency of resource utilization,
quality of industrial infrastructure and degree of
digitalization. The task of upgrading and accelerating
technological development is urgent. China seeks to
upgrade its economic model from a system where products
are largely assembled in China by foreign multinational
firms to a system where products made in China are
invented there. MIC 2025 seeks to move China up the
manufacturing value chain by utilizing innovative
manufacturing technologies or smart manufacturing. MIC
2025 is the first stage of a larger three-step strategy to
transform China into a leading manufacturing power. The
first step is for China to improve the overall quality of
manufacturing, boost innovation and labor productivity,
obtain an advanced level of information technology
integration, reduce energy and material consumption, and


develop multinational enterprises and industrial clusters
with strong international competitiveness. Next, by 2035,
China seeks to reach an intermediate level among world
manufacturing powers, greatly improve innovation
capability, make breakthroughs in major areas, boost
competitiveness, and become a global leader in various
innovation industries. By 2049, and coinciding with the
100th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic
of China (PRC), China aims to become the leader among
the world's manufacturing powers, have the capability to
lead innovation and possess competitive advantages in
major manufacturing areas, and develop advanced
technology and industrial systems.

  China's government is aggressively working to
  undermine  America's high-tech industries and our
  economic  leadership through unfair trade practices
  and industrial policies like Made in China 2025-
  USTR  Robert  Lighthizer, June I5, 2018

The MIC  2025 establishes nine priority tasks, including (1)
improving manufacturing innovation, (2) integrating
technology and industry, (3) strengthening the industrial
base, (4) fostering Chinese brands, (5) enforcing green
manufacturing, (6) promoting breakthroughs in 10 key
sectors, (7) advancing restructuring of the manufacturing
sector, (8) promoting service-oriented manufacturing and
manufacturing-related service industries, and (9)
internationalizing manufacturing. The 10 sectors identified
in the State Council's 2015 plan are (1) next-generation
information technology, (2) high-end numerical control
machinery and robotics, (3) aerospace and aviation
equipment, (4) maritime engineering equipment and high-
tech maritime vessel manufacturing, (5) advanced rail
equipment, (6) energy-saving and new energy vehicles, (7)
electrical equipment, (8) agricultural machinery and
equipment, (9) new materials, and (10) biopharmaceuticals
and high-performance medical devices. The plan also seeks
to establish 40 manufacturing innovation centers by 2025.
Why   Has  the MIC  2025  Generated   Concern
Among U.S. Policymakers and Stakeholders?
While the MIC 2025  plan states as a basic principle that the
government will comprehensively deepen reform and
give markets the decisive role in allocating resources,
critics contend that the plan represents a state-directed
industrial policy intended to reduce not only China's
dependence on foreign technology but to help Chinese
firms become dominant global players in numerous
advanced industries. Concerns have been raised that the
Chinese government will provide extensive financial
assistance to Chinese firms involved in the plan, such as
through state-directed investment funds and preferential
access to credit from state banks. Another concern is that


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