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                                                                                       Updated  December 20, 2018

Argentina: An Overview


Political and Economic   Environment
Current President Mauricio Macri-leader of the center-
right Republican Proposal and the Cambiemos (Let's
Change) coalition representing center-right and center-left
parties-won  the 2015 presidential election in a close race.
Macri defeated the candidate of the leftist faction of the
Peronist party (Front for Victory, or FPV) led by outgoing
President Cristina FernAndez de Kirchner, who was
ineligible to run for a third consecutive term. Macri's
election ended 12 years of FPV rule by the Kirchners
(N6stor Kirchner, 2003-2007, and Cristina FernAndez,
2007-2015). The Kirchners' rule helped Argentina emerge
from a severe economic crisis in 2001-2002 but was
characterized by protectionist and unorthodox economic
policies and increasing corruption.


Source: CRS.
President Macri moved swiftly to usher in economic policy
changes. His government lifted currency controls; reduced
or eliminated agricultural export taxes; and reduced
electricity, water, and heating gas subsidies. The
government reached a deal with private creditors in 2016
that ended the country's 15-year default, which allowed the
government to repair its rogue debtor status and resume
borrowing in international capital markets. Although
adjustment measures contributed to a 1.8% economic
contraction in 2016, the economy grew by 2.9% in 2017,
according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

In Argentina's October 2017 midterm legislative elections,
in which one-third of the Senate and one-half of the
Chamber  of Deputies were at stake, Macri's coalition made
significant gains but did not win a majority in either
chamber. Following the election, President Macri


successfully moved tax and pension legislation through
Congress despite protests.

               Argentina   at a Glance
  Population: 44.1 million (2017, IMF est.).
  Area: 1.1 million square miles, about the size of the United
  States east of the Mississippi.
  GDP: $638 billion (2017, current prices, IMF est.).
  Real GDP  Growth: 2.9% (2017, MF est.); -2.6% (2018, IMF
  forecast).
  Per Capita GDP: $14,463 (2017, current prices, IMF est.).
  Key Trading Partners (total trade): Brazil (21.900),
  United States (I loo), China (IIlo) (2017, INDEC).
  Legislature: Bicameral Congress, with 72-member Senate
  and 257-member Chamber of Deputies.
  Sources: International Monetary Fund (IMF) and National
  Institute of Statistics and Census, (INDEC, Argentina).


In early 2018, the IMF was forecasting almost 2% growth
for the year, but Argentina's economic difficulties,
including a severe drought affecting agricultural exports,
thwarted those expectations; the IMF is now forecasting an
economic contraction of 2.6%. Inflation, which was almost
25%  at the end of 2017, is forecast to rise to 40% by the
end of 2018. As pressure on the peso increased in April, the
government  turned to the IMF for support. The IMF
approved a three-year, $50 billion program in June, with
almost $15 billion made available immediately for budget
support. As the economy continued to decline, the
government reached a revised agreement with the IMF in
September to increase its total support to about $57 billion
through 2021. After an October 2018 IMF review,
Argentina received an additional $5.7 billion, bringing total
IMF  disbursements to date to about $20.4 billon.

Despite wide-scale protests over austerity measures, the
Macri government  secured legislative approval in
November  2018 for spending cuts and tax increases
required under the IMF program. Argentina's economic
turbulence has taken a toll on President Mach's popularity,
which could threaten his political coalition and make a
reelection bid in October 2019 more difficult. Although the
Peronist party remains divided, a candidate from its
moderate faction could pose a strong bid for the presidency.

In the foreign policy arena, the Macri government has
improved relations with neighboring Brazil and Uruguay
and other pro-market countries in the region. Argentina
took over the rotating presidency of the Group of 20 (G-20)
in December 2017  and hosted the annual G-20 summit from
November  30 to December  1, 2018.

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