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January 16, 2019


Armenia's Velvet Revolution

In December 2018, snap parliamentary elections
strengthened the legitimacy of Armenia's new prime
minister, Nikol Pashinyan, who came to power in May
2018 in what supporters called a velvet revolution. The
elections unseated a semi-autocratic ruling party that had
governed Armenia for almost 20 years but now failed to
enter parliament.

Armenia, a small, landlocked country in the South
Caucasus (population 3 million), is dependent on Russia for
security, trade, and investment, but it also seeks closer
relations with the United States and Europe. Whether
Armenia's change of government will lead to further
integration with the West is unclear. For now, Armenia's
government says it intends to retain its security alliance and
economic partnership with Russia while pursuing Western-
leaning democracy and governance reforms.

Peaceful Transfer of Power
In April-May 2018, mass protests were prompted by public
discontent with the efforts of Serzh Sargsyan, Armenia's
president for a decade, to extend his rule by becoming
prime minister, a position he held for one week. Sargsyan's
maneuver  was in line with constitutional reforms from 2015
that made Armenia's prime minister the country's most
powerful executive. In 2018, Armenia's previously strong
presidency became a largely ceremonial position filled by
parliament.

After Sargsyan resigned, the then-ruling Republican Party
of Armenia (RPA) rejected the bid of Pashinyan, aged 43, a
former journalist, opposition leader, and parliamentary
deputy, to serve as prime minister. This led to a mass
general strike, after which the RPA consented to
Pashinyan's candidacy.

Snap   Parliamentary Elections
To secure a parliamentary majority, Pashinyan called for
early elections to Armenia's unicameral legislature, the
National Assembly. To hold the elections, Pashinyan was
required to step down as prime minister in mid-October and
serve in an acting capacity.

Elections were held on December 9, 2018, under conditions
of genuine competition, according to international
observers. Pashinyan's My Step coalition won a sizeable
victory, with 70% of the vote. In the last parliamentary
elections in April 2017, an opposition alliance that included
Pashinyan's Civil Contract party won 9% of the vote.

Two  other parties entered the National Assembly. In second
place with around 8% of the vote was the center-right
Prosperous Armenia, led by Gagik Tsarukyan, a wealthy
businessman whose party was part of an RPA-led ruling


coalition from 2007 to 2012 but supported Pashinyan's
candidacy as prime minister in May 2018. The third party
to enter the National Assembly, with 6% of the vote, was
the pro-Western Bright Armenia, which was previously in
alliance with Pashinyan's Civil Contract.

The RPA  failed to clear the 5% threshold to enter
parliament. The nationalist Armenian Revolutionary
Federation (ARF, or Dashnaktsutyun), frequently a junior
coalition partner of the RPA, also did not enter parliament.

The National Assembly was elected under new rules
established before the 2017 elections and designed to
ensure that a party or coalition that wins the most votes
receives at least 54% of seats but no more than 67%. As a
result, My Step received two-thirds of parliamentary seats
(88 out of 132). Prosperous Armenia received 20% of the
seats, and Bright Armenia received 14%.


Figure I. Republic of Armenia


Source: Graphic created by CRS. Map information generated by
Hannah Fischer using data from Department of State and ArcWorld.

Combatting Corruption and Abuse
Since May 2018, the Pashinyan government has sought to
expose high-level corruption, which observers consider to
have been a major driver of the anti-Sargsyan protests. The
government charged or arrested several prominent
politicians and their associates, including close relatives of
Sargsyan and members  of parliament, for corruption-related
offenses and other crimes.

Authorities also arrested ex-president Robert Kocharyan on
charges of overthrowing Armenia's constitutional order,
in connection with his administration's use of lethal force in
2008 against demonstrators protesting electoral fraud after a


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