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January 10, 2019


U.S. Relations with Burma: Key Issues in 2019


In 2018, the 115th Congress was generally critical of the
Trump  Administration's Burma policy, particularly its
limited response to atrocities committed by the Burmese
military against the Rohingya, intensifying conflict with
ethnic insurgencies, and rising concerns about political
repression and civil rights. In December 2018, Congress
passed the Asia Reassurance Initiative Act of 2018 (P.L.
115-409), which prohibits the provision of funding for
International Military Education and Training (IMET) and
Foreign Military Financing (FMF) Program in Burma for
fiscal years 2019 through 2023.

Major Developments in Burma in 2018
At the end of 2018, an estimated one million Rohingya,
most of whom fled atrocities committed by Burma's
military (Tamadaw) in late 2017, remained in refugee
camps in Bangladesh, unable and unwilling to return to
Burma's Rakhine State given the current policies of the
Burmese  government. Also in 2018, fighting between
Burma's military, or Tatmadaw, and various ethnic armed
organizations (EAOs) escalated in Kachin and Shan States,
and spread into Chin, Karen (Kayin), and Rakhine States,
while efforts to negotiate a nationwide ceasefire stalled. In
December  2018, Commander-in-Chief Min Aung  Hlaing
announced a four-month unilateral ceasefire in eastern (but
not western) Burma, possibly signaling a new flexibility in
the peace negotiations. Many EAOs remain skeptical.

The  Rohingya  Crises
More than 700,000 Sunni Rohingya fled to Bangladesh in
late 2017, seeking to escape Tatmadaw forces that
destroyed almost 400 Rohingya villages, killed at least
6,700 Rohingya (according to human rights groups and
Doctors Without Borders), and sexually assaulted hundreds
of Rohingya women  and girls. Repatriation under an
October 2018 agreement between the two nations is stalled
as the Burmese government is unable or unwilling to
establish conditions that would allow the voluntary, safe,
dignified, and sustainable return of the Rohingya to
Rakhine State. Among the conditions sought by the
Rohingya are their return to locations at or near their
original villages, recognition as an indigenous ethnic
minority, restoration of their full citizenship, and
establishment of an accountability mechanism to investigate
and prosecute the alleged atrocities. Meanwhile, smaller
numbers continue to add to those Rohingya in need of
humanitarian assistance in Bangladesh.

Burma's mixed military/civilian government has so far
denied any systematic and/or widespread misconduct by
Burma's security forces, and continues to deny the United
Nations, international humanitarian assistance
organizations, and local and international media
unrestricted access to northern Rakhine State.

                                          https://crsrepo


Figure I. Map of Burma  (Myanmar)


   Source: CRS
   The Stalled Peace  Process
   The 3rd session of the 21st Century Panglong Conference-
   an effort to forge a nationwide ceasefire agreement between
   the government, the military, and EAOs-was held in July,
   but made little progress towards ending the long-standing
   conflict. Two of the larger EAOs, the Karen National Union
   and the Restoration Council of Shan State, subsequently
   suspended their participation in the formal peace process.

   In December 2018, Commander-in-Chief Min Aung  Hlaing
   announced a four-month unilateral ceasefire in western (but
   not eastern) Burma, and reversed his previous objection to
   the inclusion of three other EAOs-the Arakan Army, the
   Myanmar  National Democratic Alliance Army, and the
   Ta'ang National Liberation Army-in the peace talks.

   Violation of Human   Rights and Civil Liberties
   According to some analysts, Burma's mixed
   military/civilian government responded to domestic and
   international criticism in 2018 by curtailing freedom of
   speech and press freedom. In September 2018, Kyaw Soe
   Oo and Wa Lone, reporters investigating the alleged human
rts.congressgov


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