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                                                                                              December  14, 2018

The Asia Pacific: Challenges and Opportunities for U.S. Policy


The   Free   and  Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP)
Congress has the ability to shape the United States'
approach to Asia, where economic, security, and political
trends are challenging U.S. leadership and interests. The
Trump  Administration has promoted a strategy of a Free
and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) that frames U.S. policy in
the region as a multi-faceted competition against China.
China in recent years has expanded its presence in its broad
maritime periphery while pursuing an ambitious plan to
build economic corridors across the Eurasian continent.
Under the FOIP strategy, the Administration has
emphasized strategic relations with countries that share its
concerns about China's growing influence, including Japan,
Australia, and India. The Administration also has promoted
several infrastructure initiatives as alternatives to Chinese-
funded projects, which it has described as predatory and
debt traps.

Notwithstanding the FOIP policy, President Trump's
overall foreign policy approach has deepened many Asian
leaders' questions about the credibility of the U.S.
commitment  to the region. In particular, governments have
expressed concern about President Trump's 2017
withdrawal from the proposed 12-nation Trans-Pacific
Partnership (TPP) trade agreement; his application of
unilateral tariffs against trading partners including China,
Japan, and South Korea; his comments and policy moves
that may undermine U.S. alliances; and his tendency to
change policy positions.

The tools Congress may use to influence U.S. policy in
Asia include oversight through hearings and investigations;
the Senate confirmation process; the authorizing and
appropriations processes; other legislative directives and
restrictions; resolutions and policy statements; inspectors
general; reporting requirements; program evaluation; and
informal advice and pressure.

The   Asia   Pacific:  Key  Facts
*  Five U.S. treaty allies are in the Asia Pacific: Australia,
   Japan, the Philippines, South Korea, and Thailand. Over
   74,000 U.S. troops are deployed in the region.
*  In 2017, four Asian economies were among the top 10
   U.S. trading partners: China (no. 1), Japan (no. 4), South
   Korea (no. 6), India (no. 9). China was the world's
   fastest growing economy in 2017, while India's growth
   rate is expected to outpace China's in 2018 and 2019.
*  Asia is home to the United States' closest competitor in
   economic size and military strength, China; the world's
   most populous democracy, India; and the world's most
   populous Muslim-majority nation and third-most
   populous democracy, Indonesia.


*  Asia includes five nations with nuclear weapons
   arsenals: China and Russia, both permanent members of
   the United Nations Security Council; India and Pakistan,
   which are bitter rivals; and North Korea.
*  Asian nations, including U.S. allies and partners, are
   involved in major territorial disputes with China and
   among  themselves in the South China Sea and East
   China Sea, as well as along the India-China and India-
   Pakistan borders. Another potential flashpoint is
   Taiwan, which Beijing claims as part of China.

Emerging Trends
*  The balance of economic power in the region continues
   to shift. By 2030, many economists predict that China
   will overtake the United States to become the world's
   largest economy in nominal terms. By the same date,
   some predict that India might displace Japan as the third
   largest. The economic and, to a lesser extent, military
   rise of India exacerbates national security fears in
   Pakistan and is being monitored warily in Beijing.
*  China is increasingly asserting influence through
   regional economic and financial initiatives. It is
   championing its Belt and Road initiative (BRI), an
   effort to boost infrastructure development and economic
   connectivity-and expand China's influence-among
   more than 65 countries on three continents. The most
   prominent BRI project, the China-Pakistan Economic
   Corridor, could comprise up to $62 billion in
   investment. China is also promoting the Regional
   Comprehensive  Economic Partnership (RCEP), a
   proposed regional trade agreement that does not include
   the United States. In 2015, China launched a new
   development bank, the Asia Infrastructure Investment
   Bank (AIIB); membership includes 14 G-20 members.
*  In 2016 and 2017, North Korea conducted scores of
   missile tests and three nuclear weapons tests,
   demonstrating it may be close if not already capable of
   striking the continental United States with a nuclear-
   armed ballistic missile. After a period of hostile
   statements in 2017, the Trump Administration in 2018
   has pursued a diplomatic solution to denuclearize North
   Korea. A U.S.-North Korea summit, as well as three
   inter-Korean summits, have eased tensions and North
   Korean leader Kim Jong-un has publicly stated that he
   will work toward complete denuclearization of the
   Korean Peninsula, but progress toward resolution has
   remained elusive. Meanwhile, U.S. alliances with South
   Korea and Japan face strains as U.S. priorities diverge
   from Seoul's and Tokyo's top concerns.
*  Military spending in the region is rising, with China
   seeking greater power projection capabilities and other
   nations seeking to enhance their security amid questions


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