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Syria: Regime Change, Transition, and U.S.

Policy



Updated December 13, 2024

Rapid offensives by Syrian armed groups opposed to the government of Bashar Al Asad (alt. Assad)
forced Asad's resignation and exile to Russia on December 8, 2024. This inflection point in Syria's post-
2011 civil war marked the end of decades of Asad-family rule.
Advances  since late November by anti-Asad groups left much of western Syria (including Damascus and
most other major cities, Figure 1) in the hands of different forces: a coalition led by the U.S.-designated
Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) Hay'at Tahrir al Sham (HTS), the Turkey-backed Syrian National
Army  (SNA)  coalition, and southern Syria-based armed groups. Groups (including Alawite minorities)
with historical ties to the Asad regime maintain a presence in some western coastal areas where Russian
air and naval bases are located. Eastern Syria remains largely under the control of the U.S.-backed,
Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the U.S.-backed Syrian Free Army, both U.S.
counterterrorism partners against remnants of the Islamic State (IS/ISIS) that once dominated parts of
Syria and Iraq.
Many  Syrians are welcoming the end ofAsad's rule and opportunities to reunite families and release long-
held prisoners. At the same time, Syrians and outside observers note that considerable political, economic,
and security challenges lie ahead.
President Joseph Biden called Asad's ouster a fundamental act of justice and a moment of historic
opportunity. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the United States reaffirms its full support for a
Syrian-led and Syrian-owned political transition that should lead to credible, inclusive, and non-
sectarian governance that meets international standards of transparency and accountability, consistent
with the principles of United Nations Security Council Resolution 2254. President Biden said the U.S.
government would  protect U.S. citizens and personnel in Syria along with U.S. regional partners, and
would remain vigilant against a possible IS resurgence. Approximately 900 U.S. military personnel are
present in eastern and southern Syria, conducting counterterrorism missions against IS remnants and
supporting the SDF's detention of more than 9,000 IS prisoners and administration of camps for more
than 40,000 individuals from formerly IS-held areas. U.S. Central Command conducted dozens of
airstrikes against IS targets in central Syria as Asad's forces withdrew. The United States suspended
operations at the U.S. Embassy in Damascus in 2012; the Czech Republic serves as the U.S. protecting


                                                                   Congressional Research Service
                                                                   https://crsreports.congress.gov
                                                                                         IN12469

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