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Moldova: An Overview

Moldova-like   neighboring Ukraine-seeks greater       p
integration with the West in the face of Russian interference
and territorial occupation. In November 2024, Moldovan    i
President Maia Sandu was reelected on a pro-European  C
platform despite reportedly substantial Russian election  o
interference. Parliamentary elections, which could reinforce  a
or weaken Moldova's pro-European  orientation, are due to d
be held by July 2025. Moldova became a candidate for  la
European Union  (EU) membership  in 2022.                 s

The Biden Administration and the EU have supported   a
Moldova's  efforts to implement EU-related reforms, curtail d
Russian influence, and address the impacts ofRussia's war
against Ukraine. Moldova's leaders have warned that a  F
Russian victory in Ukraine could expose Moldova to
heightened Russian aggression. Members of Congress may
assess U.S. policies to support Moldova's democratic
trajectory, as well as U.S. efforts to combat Russian
influence in Moldova and the wider region.

Po   itcaI  and  Econornic Background
Maia Sandu, a former minister of education and prime
minister, first won the presidency in 2020 by defeating
incumbent Igor Dodon of the Russia-leaning, socially
conservative Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova
(PSRM).  Moldova's presidency has symbolic importance
but relatively limited formal powers.

In 2021, Sandu's reform-oriented Party of Action and
Solidarity (PAS) won snap parliamentary elections with
53%  of the vote (63 of 101 seats). A PSRM-led coalition
placed second with 27% of votes. PAS's victory, and its
formation of a single-party government, ended more than a
decade of rule by fragile coalitions that included allegedly
corrupt political forces. Prime Minister Dorin Recean has   s
led Moldova's government since February 2023. The PAS
government  has pledged to strengthen the rule of law and
address long-standing concerns about corruption and state
capture. Its reform agenda partly centers on nine priorities
the EU outlined in 2022 (see below).

Moldova  held a two-round presidential election on October
20 and November  3, 2024, along with a referendum on  a
constitutionally enshrining the goal of EU membership.
Russia allegedly sought to interfere in both votes (see
below). In the first round of the election, President Sandu
led with 42% of the vote. In the runoff, she defeated
Alexandr Stoianoglo, 55% to 45%. Stoianoglo was backed
by the formerly ruling PSRM. Sandu's victory was
facilitated by the 83% support she received among voters
residing outside of Moldova, who made up about 20% of
second-round turnout.

The third party to enter parliament in 2021 (with 6% of
votes) was the populist, Russia-linked Shor Party, led by


Updated November   26, 2024


olitical and business figure Ilan Shor. In 2019, Shor fled
Moldova  while appealing a seven-year sentence for his role
n a $1 billion bank fraud scandal. In April 2023, an appeals
ourt sentenced Shor in absentia to 15 years in prison and
rdered  the confiscation of nearly $300 million of his
ssets. In June 2023, Moldova's Constitutional Court
issolved the Shor Party for not complying with Moldova's
  ws and constitution. Shor, who is subject to U.S. and EU
  anctions, reportedly lives in Russia but remains involved
in Moldovan affairs through allied parties and proxies. Shor
nd  other Russia-connected actors allegedly have sought to
estabilize Moldova (see below).

Fiure   I. Moldova at a Glance


ource:  Figure created by CRS using the National Bureau of
  atistics of the Republic of Moldova (does not include Transnistria).

  ne of Europe's poorest countries, Moldova has made
  significant progress in reducing poverty and promoting
  nclusive growth, according to the World Bank. Moldova's
gross domestic product (GDP) declined by 5% in 2022 and
grew by 2%  in 2023. Moldova has faced high inflation and
nergy  costs, due in part to Russia's war against Ukraine.
Moldova  provides support for more than 123,000 refugees
  om Ukraine. An estimated 1 million or more Moldovans
  ve abroad; remittances are estimated to be equivalent to
  bout 15% of GDP.

Russan      nfluence in Moldova
  fter Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in
  ebruary 2022, concerns arose that Moscow also would
seek to invade Moldova. The near-term threat of a Russian
nvasion receded as Ukrainian forces halted Russia's
military advance in southern Ukraine, but concerns about
future aggression and Russian malign influence persist.
Moldovan  and U.S. officials have accused Russia of illicitly
nancing  political parties, interfering in elections, and
ubverting democratic institutions in Moldova.

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