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Defense Primer: Strategic Nuclear Forces


The United States is in the process of modernizing its
strategic nuclear forces. This modernization effort includes
numerous  Department of Defense (DOD) major defense
acquisition programs, some of which are annually assessed
by the Government Accountability Office, and warhead
modernization programs implemented by the National
Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), a semi-
autonomous  agency in the Department of Energy. In 2023,
the Congressional Budget Office estimated that U.S.
programs to operate and modernize nuclear forces would
cost $756 billion over the next 10 years. The FY2025 DOD
budget requests $49.2 billion for the modernization,
sustainment, and operations of all three legs of the nuclear
triad. Members of Congress have shown strong interest in
conducting oversight of U.S. nuclear modernization efforts.

The   Nucear Triad
Since the early 1960s, the United States has maintained a
triad of strategic nuclear delivery vehicles. These include
long-range land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles
(ICBMs), long-range submarine-launched ballistic missiles
(SLBMs)  on strategic nuclear submarines (SSBNs), and
long-range heavy bombers. The U.S. nuclear warhead
stockpile has decreased in number as the United States
changed nuclear planning requirements after the Cold War
and complied with arms control agreements.

U.S. strategic forces are currently limited by the 2011 U.S.-
Russian New  START  treaty. Table 1 displays U.S. nuclear
forces, as of September 1, 2022, accountable under that
treaty. The United States had 1,419 warheads deployed on
662 missiles and bombers as of March 1, 2023, according to
a more recent State Department fact sheet. The State
Department has stated that the United States is prepared to
adhere to the treaty's central limits (1,550 deployed
warheads on 700 deployed strategic launchers; 800 total
strategic launchers) as long as it assesses the Russian
Federation is doing so.

Table  I. U.S. Strategic Nuclear Forces in 2022
                    Total       Deployed
    System        Launchers    Launchers    Warheads
Minuteman Ill        454           396          396
ICBM
Trident (D-5)        280          220           981
SLBM
B-52 bombers          46           33           33a
B-2 bombers           20           10           10a
Total                800          659          1,420
Source: U.S. Department of State. New START Treaty Aggregate
Numbers of Strategic Offensive Arms, September 1, 2022.
a.  The treaty attributes one warhead to each deployed bomber,
    although each could carry up to 20 bombs or cruise missiles.


Updated November  18, 2024


  ationaVe   for  the  Tr  ad
Early in the Cold War, the United States developed three
types of nuclear delivery vehicles, in large part because
each of the military services wanted part of the U.S. nuclear
arsenal. Eventually, DOD came to argue that different
basing modes' complementary strengths could enhance
nuclear deterrence. As the 2010 Nuclear Posture Review
(NPR), a periodic assessment of U.S. nuclear policy,
summarized  the post-Cold War evolution of this thinking:
    [SSBNs]  and the SLBMs  they carry represent the
    most  survivable leg of the U.S. nuclear Triad....
    Single-warhead ICBMs  contribute to stability, and
    like SLBMs   are not vulnerable to air defenses.
    Unlike ICBMs  and SLBMs,  bombers can be visibly
    deployed forward, as a signal in crisis to strengthen
    deterrence of potential adversaries and assurance of
    allies and partners.
The U.S. government has reaffirmed the value of the
nuclear triad and the importance of its modernization in a
series of NPRs. The Obama Administration stated in the
2010 NPR  that the unique characteristics of each leg of the
triad were important to maintain strategic stability at
reasonable cost, while hedging against potential technical
problems or vulnerabilities. The Trump Administration
stated in the 2018 NPR that the triad's synergy and
overlapping attributes help ensure the enduring
survivability of our deterrence capabilities against attack
and our capacity to hold a range of adversary targets at risk
throughout a crisis or conflict. The Biden Administration's
2022 NPR  argued that maintaining a modem triad
possessing these attributes-effectiveness, responsiveness,
survivability, flexibility, and visibility-ensures that the
United States can withstand and respond to any strategic
attack, tailor its deterrence strategies as needed, and assure
Allies in support of our extended deterrence commitments.


urrent Forces and Modernization


ant


Before implementing the New START   Treaty, the United
States deployed 450 Minuteman III ICBMs at Air Force
bases in Wyoming, Montana, and North Dakota. Under
New  START,  the number has declined to 400 deployed
missiles, although the Air Force has retained all 450 silo
launchers. While each Minuteman III missile originally
carried three warheads, the United States deploys the
missile with a single warhead in order to comply with New
START   levels. The Air Force has completed life extension
programs (LEPs) to improve the accuracy and reliability of
the Minuteman III.

The Air Force is also developing a new ICBM, the Sentinel,
previously known as the Ground-based Strategic Deterrent

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