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       DeInforming the egsative dabate since 1914




Defense Primer: Emerging Technologies


Both the 2022 National Defense Strategy and senior U.S.
defense and intelligence officials have identified a number
of emerging technologies that could have a disruptive
impact on U.S. national security in the years to come. These
technologies include


*  artificial intelligence,
*  lethal autonomous weapon systems,
*  hypersonic weapons,
*  directed energy weapons,
*  biotechnology, and
*  quantum technology.


As these technologies continue to mature, they could hold
significant implications for congressional oversight, U.S.
defense authorizations and appropriations, military concepts
of operations, and the future of war.

Artificial ntellience
Although the U.S. government has no official definition of
artificial intelligence, policymakers generally use the term
Al to refer to a computer system capable of human-level
cognition. AI is further divided into three categories:
narrow Al, general Al, and artificial superintelligence.
Narrow  Al systems can perform only the specific task that
they were trained to perform, while general Al systems
would be capable of performing a broad range of tasks,
including those for which they were not specifically trained.
Artificial superintelligence refers to a system that could
exceed human-level cognition across most tasks. General
AI systems and artificial superintelligence do not yet-and
may  never-exist.

Narrow  AI is currently being incorporated into a number of
military applications by both the United States and its
competitors. Such applications include but are not limited
to intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance; logistics;
cyber operations; command and control; and semi-
autonomous  and autonomous vehicles. These technologies
are intended in part to augment or replace human operators,
freeing them to perform more complex and cognitively
demanding  work. In addition, Al-enabled systems could (1)
react significantly faster than systems that rely on operator
input, (2) cope with an exponential increase in the amount
of data available for analysis, and (3) enable new concepts
of operations, such as swarming (i.e., cooperative behavior
in which unmanned vehicles autonomously coordinate to
achieve a task) that could confer a warfighting advantage
by overwhelming  adversary defensive systems.

Narrow  AI could, however, introduce a number of
challenges. For example, such systems may be subject to
algorithmic bias as a result of their training data or models.
Researchers have repeatedly discovered instances of racial
bias in AI facial recognition programs due to the lack of


Updated November  4, 2024


diversity in the images on which the systems were trained,
while some natural language processing programs have
developed gender bias. Such biases could hold significant
implications for AI applications in a military context. A
number  of U.S. government documents, including DOD's
Responsible Artificial Intelligence Strategy and
Implementation Pathway and the Framework  to Advance AI
Governance  and Risk Management in National Security,
provide guidance on these applications.

Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems
Lethal Autonomous  Weapon  Systems (LAWS)  are a class
of weapon systems capable of independently identifying a
target and employing an onboard weapon system to engage
and destroy the target without manual human control.
LAWS   require computer algorithms and sensor suites to
classify an object as hostile, make an engagement decision,
and guide a weapon to the target. This capability would
enable the system to operate in communications-degraded
or -denied environments where traditional systems may not
be able to operate.

LAWS   are not yet in widespread development, and some
senior military and defense leaders have expressed concerns
about the ethics of ever fielding such systems. For example,
in 2017 testimony before the Senate Armed Services
Committee, then-Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
General Paul Selva stated, I do not think it is reasonable
for us to put robots in charge of whether or not we take a
human  life. Currently, there are no domestic or
international legal prohibitions on the development of
LAWS.   However, approximately 30 countries have called
for a preemptive ban on the systems due to ethical
considerations, while others have called for formal
regulation or guidelines for development and use. DOD
Directive 3000.09 establishes department guidelines for the
development and fielding of LAWS to ensure that they
comply with the law of war, applicable treaties, weapon
system safety rules, and applicable rules of engagement.

Hypersonic   Weapons
Hypersonic weapons-which   fly at speeds of at least Mach
5-are  in development in a number of countries, including
the United States. There are two categories of hypersonic
weapons:
*  Hypersonic  glide vehicles (HGV) are launched from a
   rocket before gliding to a target. (When HGVs are
   mated with their rocket booster, the resulting weapon
   system is often referred to as a hypersonic boost-glide
   weapon.)
*  Hypersonic  cruise missiles (HCM) are powered by
   high-speed engines throughout the duration of their
   flight.

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