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1 1 (October 21, 2024)

handle is hein.crs/goveraw0001 and id is 1 raw text is: rnfoaring tiegi ative dabame sn c 1914 Ukrainian Military Performance and Outlook Since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) have been increasingly challenged to defend against Russian advances, given ongoing disadvantages in personnel and a less developed defense industry. The UAF has demonstrated flexibility over the course of the conflict to date, as well as an ability to integrate Western security assistance into its operations. Nevertheless, the UAF continues to face obstacles to sustaining momentum against Russian forces, including personnel and equipment losses. In March 2024 testimony before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines assessed, Ukraine's retreat from Avdiivka and their struggle to stave off further territorial losses in the past few weeks have exposed the erosion of Ukraine's military capabilities. Since early 2022, the Biden Administration and Congress have supported Ukraine's defense of its territorial integrity against Russia's invasion. The UAF's evolving condition and performance may be of interest to Congress as Members weigh the impact of U.S. support for the UAF and consider any potential further assistance. Personnel The UAF's overall performance to date has been bolstered, in part, by high levels of recruitment and motivation. High personnel losses, however, pose a continued challenge to the UAF's ability to sustain effective operations. After Russia's initial invasion of Ukraine in 2014, the UAF gained important combat experience fighting Russian-led forces in Ukraine's eastern regions of Donetsk and Luhansk (known as the Donbas). In 2022, Ukraine was able to quickly mobilize these veterans and other volunteers into new volunteer Territorial Defense Forces (TDF) and Reserve without the need for lengthy training. Since the beginning of the 2022 war, the UAF has suffered high levels of casualties, lowering force quality. Losses are likely higher among regular UAF and Special Forces units, leading to a greater reliance on the TDF to act as regular infantry. In order to replace these losses, the UAF needs new recruits to regenerate forces. The UAF faces several challenges in deploying new personnel. At the time of the invasion, Ukraine did not have a fully developed professional noncommissioned officer (NCO) corps, which it previously had been seeking to develop along NATO standards. Due to the high number of trained veterans, there was less of a need for an NCO corps to train new recruits. The UAF's need for immediate reinforcements creates pressure to deploy troops with only basic training. However, the UAF also needs to train personnel to conduct Updated October 21, 2024 complex operations and employ advanced weaponry in order to sustain combat operations. Currently, the UAF also is experiencing recruitment challenges. The reported average age of Ukrainian soldiers is around 40 years old, and reports document an apparently increasing resistance among younger Ukrainians to join the UAF. Ukraine passed legislation in April 2024 to address some recruitment and rotation issues (including allowing some prisoners to serve in exchange for a reduced sentence). The legislation did not deal with the issue of demobilization, and some reports indicate that recruitment officials are resorting to more coercive methods. Additionally, the UAF reportedly struggles to train officers for staff positions to assist commanders in managing and coordinating operations. The lack of trained staff officers has in some cases led to higher-level command staff coordinating and managing tactical operations, leading to centralized and slower decisionmaking. Equipment The UAF operates a mix of Western and Soviet-era or Russian equipment. This variety of systems complicates maintenance and standardization. To date, the UAF has sustained significant equipment losses, apparently leaving some UAF units without mechanized or motorized vehicle support. The UAF has exhibited resilience in the face of such losses, in part due to Western security assistance and concerted UAF maintenance efforts. Ukraine has nearly exhausted its supplies of Soviet and Russian artillery and rocket ammunition, making the UAF almost entirely reliant on Western assistance for such systems and ammunition. To date, the UAF has demonstrated an ability to use the qualitative advantages provided by Western security assistance (e.g., long-range precision fires) to mitigate Russian quantitative advantages in artillery. UAF officials state shortages in Western artillery ammunition are hampering operations and contributing to Russian advances. Ukraine's domestic defense industry produces a wide variety of weapons but has been unable to meet the country's full wartime demands. International partners have begun to take steps to help Ukraine strengthen its defense industry capacity (including through joint production agreements with Western defense companies) in order to meet its long-term security needs, thus reducing its reliance on Western security assistance. U.S. and Western Securty Assistance Since the start of Russia's 2022 war, the United States has committed more than $60 billion, the EU over $47 billion,

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