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                                                                                         Updated  February 22, 2024

China's Global Investments: Data and Transparency Challenges


During the past 20 years, the People's Republic of China
(PRC  or China) has significantly increased its investment
overseas. In 1999, China launched its Go Global Strategy
to support the expansion of Chinese firms abroad and make
them more  globally competitive. Since then, these firms-
many  of which are closely tied to the PRC government-
have acquired foreign assets and pledged billions of dollars
to finance infrastructure abroad. Many in Congress and the
Biden Administration are focusing on the critical
implications of China's growing global economic reach for
U.S. economic and geopolitical strategic interests.

International analysts are divided on the nature of Chinese
activities. Some argue that these activities are primarily
commercial. Others contend that the surge in global
economic  activity is largely directed and funded by the state
as part of a concerted effort to bolster China's position as a
global power and support PRC industrial and foreign policy
objectives. A number of U.S. policymakers also have
grown  concerned about the terms of China's economic
engagements  and how PRC  overseas lending may create
unsustainable debt burdens for some countries. There is
also concern that the bulk of China's lending supports
commercial  projects that benefit the PRC state firms that
often implement them, sometimes to the disadvantage of
host-country businesses and workers.

Data limitations, combined with the number of unknown
variables that drive China's foreign economic policy
decisionmaking processes, can affect how Members of
Congress perceive and address the challenges that China's
overseas economic activities pose to U.S. and global
interests. These limitations and uncertainties also
complicate efforts to understand trends and assess the ways
in which China's global economic reach may differ from
that of the United States.

Data Lim       ation  s
A major challenge when researching global investment is
the accuracy, completeness, and timeliness of data and
information. While this challenge is not unique to projects
involving PRC  actors, it is exacerbated by the nature of
many  Chinese projects and loans, whose terms are not
always publicly available or transparent. No
comprehensive, standardized, or authoritative data are
available on all PRC overseas economic activities-from
either the PRC government or international organizations.
Numerous  think tanks and private research firms have
developed datasets to track overseas investment, loans, and
grants by PRC-owned  firms and institutions using
commercial  databases, news reports, and official
government  sources, when available. These datasets often
record the value of projects, loans, and grants when
commitments  or pledges are publicly announced (e.g., at
press conferences). However, many of these deals may
never be formalized, and if they are, project and loan details


may  change, and projects may not always come to fruition
for various reasons (e.g., changing economic and political
conditions, or concerns about sovereignty, debt structure, or
environmental impact).

             China's   Official FDI  Data
  China's official foreign direct investment (FDI) statistics are
  compiled by the  Ministry of Commerce  and  the State
  Administration of Foreign Exchange, using different criteria.
  While both agencies are supposed to reconcile their figures in
  annual revisions, discrepancies in the total amounts reported
  are common and sometimes significant. In addition, much of
  China's official outbound FDI has traditionally been registered
  in Hong Kong, the former British colony that has been a Special
  Administrative Region of the PRC since 1997, or in tax havens,
  such as the Cayman Islands or British Virgin Islands.

Despite these limitations, figures derived from such data
trackers often drive the policy debate in the absence of
official data sources. U.S. policymakers may rely on them
to assess the overall scope and magnitude of Chinese
activities, making it important to recognize the limitations
of existing databases. While they might be valuable and
informative, they may also provide vastly different figures.
Comparability challenges also may arise when trying to
differentiate between overlapping loan, investment, and
construction projects, since most datasets only capture a
certain type of activity.

PRC  firms often use holding companies and offshore
vehicles to structure their investments. Certain practices can
make  it difficult to track and disaggregate investments
accurately. These practices include
 round-tripping (the practice of firms routing funds to
  themselves through localities that offer beneficial tax
  policies or special incentives);
 trans-shipping (the practice of firms routing funds through
  countries that offer favorable tax policies to later reinvest
  these funds in third countries); and
 indirect holdings (e.g., holding shares in an intermediate
  company  that is a direct or indirect shareholder of the
  operating company).
PRC  restrictions on capital flows may further complicate
data challenges. Some domestic investors reportedly rely on
the schemes outlined above to take advantage of favorable
conditions granted only to foreign investors.

Transparency Challenges
In addition to data reliability and comparability issues, it is
not always possible to determine if an asset or project is
wholly or partially owned, financed, built, or operated by a
PRC  entity. Thus, lack of consistent, disaggregated, and
detailed information limits the proper assessment of the
size, scope, and implications of these activities. Moreover,

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