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CongressionaI Research Serice
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Updated August  15, 2023


Crisis in Mali


Once  seen as a regional democratic leader, Mali has
become  an epicenter of conflict and instability over the past
decade. Insurgent groups affiliated with Al Qaeda and the
Islamic State operate widely and have spread across Mali's
borders. Other armed groups, ethnic militias, and criminal
bands are also active, some with apparent state backing. A
military junta seized power in 2020 and ousted civilian
transition leaders the following year-heralding a wave of
coups in the region.
The junta has overseen major shifts in Mali's foreign
relations and security partnerships, embracing Russia and
rejecting former colonial power France along with U.N.
peacekeepers. In 2021, the junta contracted with Russia's
Wagner  Group, a nominally private military company
(PMC),  to assist counterinsurgency operations. In 2022,
amid a diplomatic rift with Bamako, France withdrew over
2,000 troops from Mali, ending a decadelong U.S.-
supported counterterrorism operation. In June 2023,
Bamako  called for the withdrawal of the U.N. peacekeeping
operation in Mali, MINUSMA.  Malian officials had
previously placed growing restrictions on MINUSMA,
hindering its ability to fulfill its mandate. In early 2023,
Mali expelled the top U.N. human rights official. Wagner's
entry and MINUSMA's   pending exit have strained an
already fragile 2015 peace deal between the government
and northern separatist rebels; clashes between the military
and signatory groups erupted in the north in August 2023.
Colonel Assimi Goita, a member of Mali's special forces, is
serving as Mali's Transition President, and populist
politician Choguel Maiga as the junta-appointed prime
minister. Military officers hold key cabinet posts and lead
the interim legislature. Under pressure from the Economic
Community   of West African States (ECOWAS), which
imposed broad economic  sanctions for six months in 2022,
the junta agreed to hold elections in February 2024 in which
current leaders would not be candidates. Whether Mali will
adhere to these commitments is uncertain, however. A new
constitution adopted by referendum in June 2023
concentrates power in the presidency and could pave the
way for Goita to run for president.
Although the junta has struggled to improve security and
address economic hardships, it has arguably drawn popular
support from its face-off with France, the U.N., separatist
groups, and other West African leaders. Rights groups
accuse the junta and its supporters of intimidating and
repressing critics; the government has also banned or
suspended several French and local media outlets. Bamako
has sought to drive a wedge within ECOWAS, rejecting
regional sanctions on neighboring Niger in response to a
military seizure of power there in July 2023, and pledging
to defend Niger's junta against a threatened regional
military intervention. In 2022, Mali withdrew from the G5
Sahel, a donor-backed grouping that had sought to
coordinate military operations.


Figure 1. Mali at a Glance


Source: CRS graphic. Data from CIA World Factbook, IMF, UNAIDS.
Background.  Mali has been in crisis since 2012, when a
northern separatist rebellion led by members of the minority
ethnic Tuareg community paved the way for a military coup
and an Islamist insurgent advance. Rebels-bolstered by
arms from Libya and fighters with ties to Al Qaeda in the
Islamic Maghreb (AQIM)-declared an   independent state
of Azawad  in the north. By mid-2012, AQIM and two
allied groups had outmaneuvered the separatists to assert
control over much of the north.
At the transitional government's request, France deployed
its military in early 2013 to counter an Islamist insurgent
advance and ousted insurgent leaders from major towns in
the north. A U.N. peacekeeping operation, MINUSMA,  was
established in mid-2013 to help stabilize the country,
absorbing a nascent African-led intervention force. Veteran
politician Ibrahim Boubacar Kdita was elected president, at
which point donors, including the United States, normalized
relations with Bamako. French forces transitioned into
Operation Barkhane, a regional counterterrorism mission
that received U.S. military logistical support, in 2014.
Under international pressure to reach a peace deal in the
north, the government signed an accord in 2015 with two
armed coalitions: one led by ex-separatists, and the other by
pro-unity groups with ties to Bamako. Mediated by Algeria
with international backing, the accord aimed to address
Tuareg political grievances, reestablish state authority in the
north, demobilize rebel fighters, promote northern
economic  development, and isolate designated terrorist
groups, which were not party to the talks. Implementation
lagged, however, and signatory groups maintained parallel
governance structures. Meanwhile, armed groups multiplied
and Islamist insurgencies expanded into central Mali.

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