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               Congressional                                                       ____
           Sa  Research Service






Sri Lanka in Crisis



July  11, 2022


Sri Lanka is in the midst of an economic and political crisis that may have far-reaching ramifications for
the country's political development and regional relations. Flawed agricultural policies (see below), a tax
cut, limited foreign exchange, declines in remittances and tourism, and the increasing costs of food and
fuel in part due to the war in the Ukraine all arguably contributed to the current crisis. Mass
demonstrations protesting the government's inability to alleviate food, fuel, and medicine shortages and
address power cuts culminated in protesters storming the presidential palace and the prime minister's
residence on July 9th. President Gotabaya Rajapaksa fled to Male', Maldives, and then Singapore, and
formally resigned on July 15. There are reports the U.S. Government rejected Gotabaya's recent visa
request. The Parliament announced it would convene on July 16 and select a new president within a week.
Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, now also acting president, announced a state of emergency and
imposed a curfew in the country's western province, including Colombo, following Gotabaya's departure.
Wickremesinghe  has stated he will resign once a new government is in place.


The Economic Crisis

Sri Lanka defaulted on its debts for the first time in May 2022, and the government informed creditors it
would not make payments until it was able to restructure its debt. Sri Lanka reportedly owes $51 billion,
with $7 billion due in 2022. Sri Lanka's largest external creditors are the Asian Development Bank
(13%), Japan (10%), China (10%), and the World Bank (9%). Some analysts forecast that Sri Lanka's
economy  will contract by more than 6% in 2022, while the World Food Program estimates that over 22%
of the population are food insecure. Inflation reached a year-on-year record of over 50% in June 2022.
Rajapaksa had banned imports of synthetic agrochemicals, including chemical fertilizers and pesticides,
as part of a policy to move Sri Lanka to organic agriculture without a transition period. This, and fuel
shortages, led to an estimated decrease in agricultural yields of 20% and 70% for the growing season
ending in March 2022. Remittances from overseas workers have declined to less than half of 2019 levels,
and tourism is down due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Media reports suggest some Sri Lankans,
particularly ethnic Tamils, are fleeing the country for destinations such as India and Australia, raising the
prospect of a new refugee crisis.



                                                                  Congressional Research Service
                                                                    https://crsreports.congress.gov
                                                                                        IN11969

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