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Updated December 15, 2021

The LIBOR Transition

LIBOR is a key benchmark interest rate underpinning many
financial contracts, but it is scheduled to be discontinued
starting at the end of 2021. This In Focus discusses efforts
to transition away from the use of LIBOR in financial
products in order to avoid disruption if LIBOR disappears.
LIBOR
What Is LIBOR? LIBOR refers to the London Interbank
Offered Rate. It is privately determined by polling more
than a dozen large global banks in London about the
interest rate at which they can borrow for various lengths of
time (tenors) in U.S. dollars and four other currencies.
Thus, at any point in time, there are several LIBOR rates.
LIBOR dates back to the 1960s and has been published
daily since 1986.
How Is It Used? LIBOR is a benchmark or reference rate
that helps financial market participants gauge prevailing
interest rates. In the United States, many financial
instruments are tied to dollar LIBORs, including certain
floating-rate loans, bonds, securitized products, and
financial derivatives. For example, an adjustable mortgage
rate might be set at LIBOR plus a fixed markup. Each
month, the rate on the mortgage would be reset based on the
prevailing LIBOR. A type of derivative called an interest
rate swap might also reference LIBOR. One party to the
swap would receive a periodic payment based on a
predetermined fixed interest rate, while the other party
would receive a payment tied to a rate that adjusts based on
the current LIBOR. As of 2020, LIBOR was referenced in
an estimated $223 trillion of financial instruments.
What Was the LIBOR Scandal? In 2012, the British-
based bank Barclays was fined by its British regulator and
settled with the U.S. Justice Department, the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and a group of states
for manipulating LIBOR. Barclays was one of the banks
that was polled to determine LIBOR. From 2005 to 2008,
employees at Barclays submitted LIBOR data that did not
accurately reflect Barclays's borrowing costs. They did so
for two reasons: (1) to profit from Barclays's swaps trading
based on LIBOR and (2) to mask weakness in Barclays's
financial condition during the financial crisis. Subsequently,
several other banks reached settlements with regulators for
manipulating LIBOR and operating a derivatives cartel that
involved sharing information on, among other things,
LIBOR submissions. Private parties have also sued
submitting banks over LIBOR manipulation.
An inherent weakness of LIBOR that made it potentially
susceptible to manipulation is that on any given day there
may be little or no actual borrowing by banks at the various
tenors that are reported. In that case, polled banks submitted
their best estimate of what their borrowing costs would be if

they wished to borrow, giving banks some discretion in
what rates they reported. This problem grew following the
financial crisis because banks borrowed less as a result of
the large increase in bank reserves.
How Was It Reformed? The LIBOR scandal revealed that
a rate determining the value of financial products worth
trillions of dollars could be manipulated by employees at a
handful of banks. Policymakers initiated several reforms in
response to the scandal. First, publication of the rate was
transferred from the British Bankers Association and made
more transparent. Second, production of the rate became
regulated by the British financial regulator. Third,
calculation of the rate was modified to increase the weight
on actual data and reduce the weight on best guesses in
the absence of borrowing. Fourth, policymakers have
encouraged a transition away from the use of LIBOR.
What Happens Next? For all but the most popular
currencies and tenors, there is insufficient borrowing to
determine LIBOR using only borrowing data, so data
quality and integrity remains questionable. Participation in
the LIBOR sample is voluntary and confers limited benefit,
and participants are leery of potential further legal
exposure. As a result, British regulators have announced
that LIBOR will be discontinued between December 31,
2021, and June 30, 2023, depending on the type.
The LIBOR Transition
Given LIBOR's shortcomings and its planned
disappearance after 2021, policymakers and market
participants are actively encouraging financial institutions
to transition from LIBOR to alternative benchmarks. It is
unclear, however, whether sufficient progress has been
made to avoid disruption when LIBOR disappears.
What Risks Does the LIBOR Transition Pose? Financial
firms using LIBOR face legal, operational, credit,
regulatory, and reputational risk. In addition, the LIBOR
transition may pose systemic risk-the risk that a disorderly
transition could cause widespread financial instability.
Financial contracts using LIBOR may include fallback
language that explicitly addresses what would happen if
LIBOR is discontinued. These contracts are less
problematic than legacy contracts that do not include
fallback language and mature after LIBOR's disappearance.
If unaddressed, legacy contracts could stop functioning or
lead to legal action between parties to the contracts. Parties
to a legacy contract can mitigate these risks by amending
contracts to incorporate robust fallback language. However,
in many cases, all parties must agree to an amendment.

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