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Crisis in Mali

Once seen as a democratic leader, Malihas become an
epicenter ofregional conflict andinstability over the past
decade. The military's ouster of the elected president in
August2020 highlighted governance failings and deepened
political uncertainty. In May 2021, the same soldiers
overthrew the transitional civilian leaders whomthey had
put in place, after chafing at Transition President Bah
N'Daw's effort to replace two junta members as cabinet
ministers. The leader ofboth coups, Colonel AssimiGoita,
has replacedN'Dawas Transition President; allied officers
hold four cabinet posts and lead the transitional legislature.
Underregionalpressure, Goitahas promised elections in
February 2022in which he will not be a candidate, but
observers question his commitment. Transitional leaders
also have pledged a constitutionalreferendumto advance
the government's 2015 peace dealwith northern rebels.
In 2020, many in Bamako (Figure 1) welcomed the coup,
following weeks of street protests against then-President
IbrahimBoubacarKdita. Reactions to the May 2021 events
were more muted, even as Goita named a leader in the 2020
protestmovement, ChoguelMaiga, as Transition Prime
Minis ter. Authorities may struggle to meet expectations of
improvements in security and socioeconomic conditions,
both ofwhich havedeterioratedin recent years. Islamist
insurgents and other armed groups controlmuch of Mali's
territory. Ethnic militias, some of which appear to enjoy
state backing, have mas sacred civilians in rural areas, and
state security forces have been implicated in killings and
abuses. Rebel, terrorist, communal, and criminal networks
often overlap. Although relatively secure, Bamako has seen
several terrorist attacks, including a 2015 assault at a hotel
that killed 19 civilians (one ofthemAmerican).
These complexthreats and security dynamics haveimpeded
development and humanitarian relief for Mali, a poor and
landlocked country with limited arable land. The
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has
compounded challenges. As of mid-2021, U.N. agencies
estimated that 5.9 million Malians (29%)required
humanitarian aid, over 372,000 were displaced internally,
and nearly 47,000 were refugees in neighboring countries.
Foreign troops have deployed to stabilize Mali and counter
terrorism. The U.N. peacekeeping operation in Mali,
MINUSMA, is one of the world's largest and most
dangerous. Some 5,100 French troops servein Operation
Barkhane, a counterterrorismmission thatreceives U.S.
logistical and intelligence support, although Francehas
announcedplans to close Barkhanebases in northern Mali
and gradually draw down its forces. Francehas called for
the European Union, which has trained Mali's military and
law enforcement entities, to take on a greater role in
regionalsecurity.Donors, including the United States,have
also sought to build the capacity ofa joint force
established by the G5 Sahel (Mali, Mauritania, Niger,
Burkina Faso, and Chad) to coordinate military operations.
https://crsreports

Figure I. Mali at a Glance

Source: CRS graphic. Data from CIA World Factbook, IMF.
Background Malihas been mired in crisis since 2012,
when a northern separatist rebellion led by members of the
minority ethnic Tuareg community prompted a military
coup and Islamistinsurgent advance, all during aregional
drought. The coup contributed to the military's collapse in
northern Mali, which the Tuareg-led National Movement
for the Liberation of Azawad (MNLA)-bolstered by arms
from Libya and fighters with ties to Al Qaeda in the Islamic
Maghreb (AQIM)-then declared an independent state. By
mid-2012, however, AQIM and two loosely aligned groups
had outmaneuveredthe MNLA to assert controlover most
of the north. France deployed its military against the
Islamist groups in early 2013, at which point the MNLA
and other factions (re-)asserted control in some areas.
MINUSMA deployed in mid-2013, and President Kdita
won elections later that year, leading the United States to
lift coup-related aid restrictions (discussed below).
President Kdita was reelected in 2018, but opposition
mounted over his administration's apparent interference in
legislative electionresults, corruption scandals, worsening
insecurity, militia violence, and economic hardships. In
June and July 2020, a loose alliance of politicians, civil
society actors, and supporters of an influential Bamako
religious leader convened large protests and called for K6ia
to resign. A violent state crackdown further discredited
K6ita's leadership, and regional mediation efforts failed.
The August 2020 coup d'6tat followed. Criminal
proceedings against the 2012 coup leader, Captain Amadou
Sanogo, were dropped in early 2021.
Stalled Peace Accord
In 2015, PresidentKdita's administration signed a peace
dealwith two northern armed coalitions: one led by ex-
separatists including the MNLA, theotherby pro-unity
groups with ties to Bamako. Mediated by Algeria with

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