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Updated June 23, 2021

Algeria

More than two years after nationwide protests forced
longstanding President Abdelaziz Bouteflika to step down,
questions remain about the future of Algeria's political
system and state-centric economy, which revolves around
oil and gas exports. President Abelmadjid Tebboune (75), a
former prime minister, was elected in late 2019 to succeed
Bouteflika, but some observers question his legitimacy and
influence within the complex elite networks known in
Algeria as le pouvoir (the powers that be). Tebboune won
nearly 60% of the vote but turnout was under 40%; his
reputed patron, army chief of staff General Ahmed Gaid
Salah, died soon after; and the president spent months in
hospitals abroad after contracting COVID-19 in late 2020.
President Tebboune has pledged reforms and a new
Algeria, but structural changes have proven elusive. A new
constitution adopted by referendum in late 2020 did not
significantly alter the political system or expand civil
liberties. In any case, core aspects of Algeria's
governance-such as the influence wielded by top figures
in the state security apparatus and energy sector-are not
directly rooted in constitutional prerogatives. In early 2021,
President Tebboune dissolved the lower house of
parliament and called legislative elections for June 12, a
year ahead of schedule. Turnout, at 23%, was historically
low, reflecting apparent voter apathy and calls for a boycott
from some opposition parties and the protest movement.
The National Liberation Front (FLN), the largest party
under Bouteflika, again won a plurality of seats, though its
share (26%) has declined in recent cycles.
The largely leaderless protest movement, known as the
hirak (movement), began in February 2019 and initially
bridged regional, ethno-linguistic, class, and ideological
divisions. Protests withered in 2020 amid the COVID-19
pandemic, pressure from authorities, fatigue among many
citizens, and internal disputes over tactics and goals.
Smaller numbers of protesters have gathered since early
2021 to express continued demands for more accountable
and transparent governance. Authorities have oscillated
between conciliatory moves-such as prisoner releases and
offers of dialogue-and repression, including mass arrests
and the prosecution of prominent organizers and journalists
for crimes such as harming national unity. In May 2021,
the government announced a ban on unauthorized
demonstrations, expanding existing restrictions on freedom
of assembly.
COVID-19. As of June 2021, Algeria had reported fewer
cumulative COVID-19 cases per capita than neighboring
Morocco or Tunisia, but also had given far fewer tests per
capita. The country has seen a gradual third wave of cases
since April 2021. Algeria has received vaccine doses
through the multilateral COVAX initiative and bilaterally
from China and Russia. Some COVID-related lockdown
measures, including travel restrictions, remain in place. The
pandemic has worsened preexisting economic strains.

Figure I. Algeria at a Glance

Source: CIA World Factbook, IMF; 2020 estimates unless noted
Political Context. Algeria remained comparatively stable
between 2011 and 2018 amid turmoil elsewhere in North
Africa, but the prospect of an uncertain leadership transition
loomed. Elected in 1999 as a decade of conflict with
Islamist militants was winding down, President Bouteflika
oversaw national reconciliation initiatives along with
infrastructure and living standard improvements funded by
oil and gas revenues. Official decisionmaking was often
opaque and subject to apparent factional disputes, while the
rise of an oligarchic business class spurred corruption
concerns. Despite signs of advanced illness, Bouteflika was
reelected in 2014 and sought reelection in 2019. Observers
perceived an elite impasse over who might succeed him, as
members of the politically dominant revolutionary
generation-who participated in Algeria's anticolonial war
against France-age and pass away.
The leading parties in parliament are the FLN, which led
the fight for independence and was the sole legal party for
decades (105 out of 407 seats), the Islamist Movement of
Society for Peace (64 seats), and the National Rally for
Democracy (57 seats), considered close to the military.
None backed Tebboune in the 2019 election. The
opposition is diverse and divided, comprising leftist,
Islamist, Berber-led, and regionally focused parties. Some
analysts argue that Islamism has been discredited in Algeria
due to armed Islamists' role in the 1990s conflict, or
alternately due to some Islamists' accommodation with the
state. The Islamic Salvation Front, whose electoral gains in
1991 sparked a military coup and the subsequent conflict,
remains banned. Religiously conservative Salafist social
movements have grown in prominence in recent decades.
Terrorism and Counterterrorism
Cells linked to Al Qaeda and the Islamic State (IS) are
reportedly active in some areas, but the pace of terrorist
attacks has decreased continuously since the early 2000s.
State security forces have conducted frequent

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