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              Congressional
              SResearch Service





Mexican Drug Trafficking and Cartel

Operations amid COVID-19



Updated April 2, 2021
Mexico is a primary foreign producer and transit county for illicit drugs destined for the United States.
Policymakers, including many in Congress, have closely watched how the Coronavirus Disease 2019
(COVID-19)  pandemic is affecting drug flow patterns out of Mexico, including the flow of potent opioids
and other illicit drugs. Any changes could affect the extent to which Mexico-based transnational criminal
organizations (TCOs), popularly described as cartels, pose athreat to U.S. national security. To date,
U. S. -bound illicit drug supplies appear to be returning to pre-pandemic levels, despite early supply chain
disruptions.

Illicit Drug Flows
According to various press, think-tank, U.S. government, and United Nations reports, the pandemic's
effect on Mexico-based drug production and trafficking has been mixed. COVID-19-related lockdowns
and slowdowns  in container trade and port activity, particularly in China and India, appear to have caused
shortages in precursor chemicals used to synthesize methamphetamine and fentanyl, resulting in
temporary product shortages and price increases. Some reports indicate Mexican traffickers stockpiled
resources, including cash, uncertain of how COVID-19 would affect law enforcement attention on the
illicit drug trade. Several high-profile seizures in 2020 suggest potential trafficker miscalculations as
cartels adapted to the COVID-19 operating environment. Such seizures, however, also indicate that illicit
drugs and money continue to flow along U.S. -Mexico trafficking corridors. Additionally, Mexican opium
poppy cultivation and heroin production have been largely unaffected by COVID-19-related
developments. The pandemic may motivate Mexico-based drug producers to find alternative precursor
sources and further develop domestic production capabilities.
Such reports are consistent with early predictions that although pandemic-associated global mobility
restrictions and trade declines could disrupt illicit drug supply chains and diversify drug trafficking
patterns and routes, any disruptions to Mexican production and trafficking likely would be temporary. In
October 2020, the U. S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) assessed that the pandemic has slowed
the pace of drug trafficking into the United States and disrupted some cartel operations but that cartels'
ability to move large quantities of drugs remained largely intact.


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