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Europe, COVID-19, and U.S. Relations


COVID-19 in Europe
Like most of the rest of the world, European governments
and the European Union (EU) have struggled to manage the
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.
European leaders havecharacterized thepandemic as
Europe's biggest challenge sincethe Second World War,
with potentially far-reaching political, social, and economic
consequences beyond the public health imp act. Members of
Congress may be interested in COVID-19's implications
for U.S. relations with Europe, including in NATO and with
the EU, and in how the pandemic might alter certain U.S.-
European dynamics, especially vis -a-vis China.

Statistics
The first wave of the pandemic in Europe occurred in
spring 2020 but subsided in the summer. A secondwave
began in early fall 2020. As of early March 2021, about
27.2 million confirmed COVID-19 infections and roughly
679,000 deaths had been reported across the 27-member
EU, the United Kingdom(UK), Norway, and Switzerland
(out of a combined population ofroughly 527 million).

Table  I. COVID-19 Cases and Deaths  in Europe:
Top  I 0 Affected Countries
(by number of cases, as of March 1, 2021)

                                  Deaths      Case
  Country      Cases     Deaths     per     Fatality
                                  100,000    Rates

 UK           4,188,827  123,083    185.12      2.9%
 France       3,747,263   85,741    128.00      2.3%
 Spain        3,188,553   69,142    147.98      2.2%
 Italy        2,925,265   97,699    161.67      3.3%
 Germany      2,450,295   70,152     84.59      2.9%
 Poland       1,706,986   43,769    115.25      2.6%
 Czech Rep.   1,235,480   20,339    191.41       1.6%
 Netherlands  1,103,564   15,688     91.05       1.4%
 Romania       801,994    20,350    104.50      2.5%
 Belgium       771,511    22,077    193.28      2.9%
 Source: Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Coronavirus
 Resource Center, March 1,2021, updated daily at
 https://coronavirus.jh u.edu/.
 As seen in Table 1, the UK, France, Spain, Italy, and
 Germany have experienced the largest number of
 infections. The second wave hit several Central and Eas tern
 European countries-including Poland and the Czech
 Republic-harder than the first wave. The second surge
 followed the relaxation of social and economic restrictions


Updated March  1, 2021


in many European countries over the summer and theonset
of colder weather. Some experts warn that a third wave is
possible with the spread of more infectious virus variants.

European Responses
In March 2020, in response to the first wave of the
pandemic, nearly all European governments imposed
national lockdown restrictions and social-distancing
measures-including banning large gatherings, closing
schools and nonessential businesses, and restricting
movement-although   these measures varied by country in
strictness and other aspects. Most European governments
also enacted nationalborder controls. Swedentooka
notably different approach that trusted citizens to practice
s ocial dis tancing and imposed few mandatory restrictions,
but many public health experts questioned this strategy.
European governments began implementing phased
reopeningplans in mid-Apriland early May 2020. Most
European leaders stressed the need for continued social
dis tancing, and many governments required the use of face
masks, especially indoors.

The pandemic has spurred serious economic difficulties
throughout Europe. The EUestimates its total economy
contractedby 6.3% in 2020 but will growby 3.7% in 2021.
The speed of economic recovery, however, is expected to
vary among member  states.Measures enactedby European
governments to mitigate the economic downturn include
loan programs and credit guarantees for companies, income
subsidies for affected workers, taxdeferrals, and debt
repayment deferments.

As COVID-19  cases began to increase again in early fall
2020, European governments attempted to avoid a second
round ofnational lockdowns, opting instead for targeted
restrictions onregionalorlocalvirus hot spots to
preserve economic recovery andin light of growing
pandemic fatigue and public protests. By late October,
Belgium, the Czech Republic, France, Germany, Ireland,
Italy, Spain, and others hadreimposednationalrestrictions,
although most countries kept schools open and measures in
some were less stringent than during thefirst wave. By
December, amid mounting infections andgrowing concerns
about a faster-spreading variant of the virus first detectedin
the UK, some European governments hadclosed schools
and nonessential shops.

EU  and other European countries havebegun vaccination
programs. Officials hope that, as vaccinations proceed, they
will enable restrictions to be eased gradually in the coming
months. According to Oxford University data, 4.8% of the
total EU population and 29.6% of the UKpopulationhave
received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine (as of
February 28, 2021).

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