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1 [1] (December 29, 2020)

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Europe, COVID-19, and U.S. Re

COVID-19 in Europe
Like most of the rest of the world, European governments
and the European Union (EU) have struggled to manage the
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.
European leaders have characterized thepandemic as
Europe's biggest challenge sincethe Second World War,
with potentially far-reaching political, social, and economic
consequences beyond the public healthimpact. COVID-19
also has added tensions to a strained U.S.-European
partnership. Members of Congress may be interestedin
COVID-19's  implications for U.S. relations with Europe,
including in NATO and with the EU, and in how the
pandemic might alter certain U.S.-European dynamics,
especially vis-a-vis China.

Statistics
The first wave of the pandemic in Europe occurredin
spring 2020 but subsided in the summer. A second wave
began in early fall 2020. As oflate December 2020, about
17.7 million confirmed COVID-19 infections and roughly
433,000 deaths had been reported across the 27-member
EU, the United Kingdom(UK), Norway, and Switzerland
(out of a combined population ofroughly 527 million).

Table  I. COVID-I9 Cases and Deaths  in Europe:
Top  I 0 Affected Countries
(by number of cases, as of end of December 2020)

                                   Deaths     Case
  Country      Cases     Deaths     per     Fatality
                                  100,000    Rates

 France       2,619,616   63,235     94.40      2.4%
 UK           2,336,688   71,217    107.11      3.0%
 Italy        2,056,277   72,370    119.76      3.5%
 Spain        1,879,41 3  50,122    107.27      2.7%
 Germany      1,672,643   31,145     37.56       1.9%
 Poland       1,261,010   27,147     71.48      2.2%
 Netherlands   781,467    11,135     64.62       1.4%
 Czech Rep.    674,340    11,152    104.95       1.7%
 Belgium       639,734    19,234    168.39      3.0%
 Romania       618,429    15,334     78.74      2.5%
 Source: Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Coronavirus
 Resource Center, December 29,2020, updated daily at
 https://coronavirus.jh u.edu/.
 As seen in Table 1, France, the UK, and Italy have
 experienced the largestnumber ofinfections. The second
 wave has hit several Central and Eastern European
 countries-including Poland and the Czech Republic-


                            Updated December  29,2020

lations

harder than the first wave. Although the rise in new
infections may be due partly to more testing, the second
surge followed a relaxation ofrestrictions on social and
economic  activityin many European countries overthe
summer  and the onsetof colder weather. Hospitalizations
and  deaths continue to increase throughout Europe.

European Responses
In March  2020, in response to the first wave of the
pandemic,nearly  allEuropean governments imposed
nationallockdown restrictions and social-distancing
measures-including  banning large gatherings, closing
schools and nonessential businesses, and restricting
movement-although   these measures varied by country in
strictness and other aspects. Most European governments
also enacted nationalbordercontrols. Swedentooka
notably different approach that trusted citizens to practice
s ocial dis tancing and imposed few mandatory restrictions;
some  public health experts contendthis policy failed to
protect themost vulnerable or to build immunity among the
generalpublic. European governments began implementing
phased  reopening plans in mid-April and early May 2020.
Most  European leaders stressed the need for continued
socialdistancing, andmany governments required the use
of facemasks, especially indoors.

The  pandemic has spurred serious economic difficulties
throughout Europe. For 2020, the EU forecasts its total
economy   will contract by 7.4% and average unemployment
across the bloc will rise to 7.7%. Projections suggest the
UK  economy  will contract by roughly 11% in 2020.
Measures  enactedby European governments to mitigate the
economic  downturn include loanprograms and credit
guarantees for companies, income subsidies for affected
workers, tax deferrals, and debt repayment deferments.

As  COVID-19  cases began to increase again in early fall
2020, European governments initially attempted to avoid a
second  roundofnationallockdowns, opting insteadfor
targeted restrictions on regional or localvirus hotspots to
preserve economic recovery andin light of growing
pandemic  fatigue and public protests. By late October,
Belgium, the Czech Republic, France, Germany, Ireland,
Italy, Spain, and others had reimposed nationalres trictions,
although most countries kept schools open and measures in
some  were less stringent than during the first wave. By
December,  amid mounting infections and growing concerns
about a faster-spreading variant of the virus first detectedin
the UK, some European governments had imposed more
severe lockdowns-including closing schools and
nonessential shops. Most EU countries alsohaverestricted
travel from the UK. EU member states and the UKhave
begun  vaccinationprograms, but social-distancing measuires
and  limits on economic activities are expected to remain in
place throughout Europe for severalmonths at least.


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