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Europe, COVID-19, and U.S. Relations


Like most of the rest of the world, European governments
and the European Union (EU)have struggled to manage the
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.
European leaders have characterized thepandemic as
Europe's biggest challenge sincethe Second World War,
with potentially far-reaching political, social, and economic
consequences beyond the public health impact. COVID-19
also has addednew tensions to an already strainedU.S.-
European partnership. Members of Congress may be
interested in COVID-19's implications forU.S. relations
with Europe, including in NATO and with the EU, and in
how  the pandemic might alter certain U.S.-European
dynamics, especially vis-a-vis China.


The first wave of the pandemic in Europe occurred in
spring 2020 but subsided in the summer. A second wave
began in early fall 2020. As of late November 2020, about
13.5 million confirmed COVID-19 infections and over
327,000 deaths had been reported across the 27-member
EU, the United Kingdom(UK), Norway,  and Switzerland
(out of a combined population ofroughly 527 million).

Table  I. COVID-1 9 Cases and Deaths in Europe:
Top  I 0 Affected Countries
(by number of cases, as of end of November 2020)

                                   Deaths     Case
                                     per     Fatality
 Country       Cases     Deaths    100,000    Rates

 France       2,270,573   52,410     78.24       2.3%
 Spain        1,628,208   44,668     95.60       2.7%
 UK           1,621,305   58,342     87.75       3.6%
 Italy        1,585,178   54,904     90.85       3.5%
 Germany      1,055,691   16,306      19.66      1.5%
 Poland        985,075    1 7,029    44.84       1.7%
 Belgium       576,599    16,547    144.87       2.9%
 Netherlands   527,336     9,426     54.70       1.8%
 Czech Rep.    519,723     8,138     76.59       1.6%
 Romania       471,536    11,193     57.48       2.4%
 Source: Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Coronavirus
 Resou rce Center, November 30, 2020, updated daily at
 https://coronavirus.jh u.ed u/.
 As s een in Table 1, France, Spain, the UK, and Italy have
 experienced the largestnumber of infections. The second
 wave is hitting several Central and Eas tern European
 countries-including Poland and the Czech Republic-


Updated December  1,2020


harder than the first wave. Although rising new infections
may be due partly to increased testing, the second surge
follows the relaxation ofrestrictions on social and
economic activityin many European countries over the
summer  and the onsetof colder weather. Hospitalizations
and deaths have been ticking upward throughout Europe.

European Responses
In March 2020, in response to the first wave of the
pandemic,nearly all European governments imposed
national lockdown restrictions and social-distancing
measures-including  banning large gatherings, closing
schools and nonessential businesses, and restricting
movement-although   these measures varied by country in
strictness and other aspects. Most European governments
also enacted nationalbordercontrols. Swedentooka
notably different approach that trusted citizens to practice
s ocial dis tancing and imposed few mandatory restrictions;
some public health experts remain skeptical about this
policy's success in building immunity among the general
public and contend it failed to protect the mostvulnerable.
European governments began implementing phased
reopeningplans in mid-April and early May 2020. Most
European leaders stressed the need for continued social
distancing, and many governments required theuseof
facemasks, especially indoors.

The pandemic has spurred serious economic difficulties
throughout Europe. For 2020, the EU forecasts its total
economy  will contract by 7.4% and average unemployment
across thebloc will rise to 7.7%. Projections suggestthe
UK  economy  will contract by roughly 11% in 2020.
Measures enactedby European governments to mitigate the
economic downturn  include lo an programs and credit
guarantees for companies, income subsidies for affected
workers, tax deferrals, and debt repayment deferments.

As COVID-19  cases began to increase again in early fall,
European governments initially attemptedto avoid asecond
round ofnationallockdowns, opting instead for targeted
restrictions on regional or localvirus hot spots to
preserve economic recovery andin light of growing
pandemic fatigue and public protests. Most governments
have kept schools open, but as cases increased, many
implemented progressively more restrictive measures. Such
measures haveincluded imposing curfews, closingor
reducing the operation of restaurants and bars, further
limiting socialgatherings, and expanding mandatory mask
usage. By the end of October, Belgium, the Czech
Republic, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Spain, and
others reimposed national restrictions, although measures in
some countries were less stringent than during the first
wave. Several governments, including the UK and France,
are expected to relax s ome res trictions for the upcoming
Christmas holiday season.

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