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Europe, COVID-19, and U.S. Relations


Like most of the rest of the world, European governments
and the European Union (EU)have struggled to manage the
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.
European leaders have characterized thepandemic as
Europe's biggest challenge sincethe Second World War,
with potentially far-reaching political, social, and economic
consequences beyond the public health impact. COVID-19
also has addednew tensions to an already strainedU.S.-
European partnership. Members of Congress may be
interested in COVID-19's implications forU.S. relations
with Europe, including in NATO and with the EU, and in
how  the pandemic might alter certain U.S.-European
dynamics, especially vis-a-vis China.


The first wave of the pandemic in Europe occurred in
spring 2020 but subsided in the summer. A second wave
began in early fall 2020. As oflate October 2020, about
6.6 million confirmed COVID-19 infections andover
215,000 deaths had been reported across the 27-member
EU, the United Kingdom(UK), Norway,  and Switzerland
(out of a combined population ofroughly 527 million).

Table  I. COVID-1 9 Casesand  Deaths in Europe:
Top  I 0 Affected Countries
(by number of cases, as of end of October 2020)

                                   Deaths     Case
  Country      Cases     Deaths      per     Fatality
                                   100,000    Rates

 France       1,244,242   35,582     53.12       2.9%
 Spain        1,116,738   35,298     75.55       3.2%
 UK            920,664    45,455     68.36       4.9%
 Italy         564,778    37,700     62.38       6.7%
 Germany       463,419    10,121      12.20      2.2%
 Belgium       333,718    10,899     95.42       3.3%
 Netherlands   318,152     7,204     41.81       2.3%
 Czech Rep.    284,033     2,547     23.97       0.9%
 Poland        280,229     4,615      12.15      1.6%
 Romania       217,216     6,574     33.76       3.0%
 Source: Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Coronavirus
 Resource Center, October 28, 2020, updated daily at
 https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/.
 As seen in Table 1, France, Spain, and the UK have
 experienced the largestnumber of infections. The second
 wave is hitting several Central and Eas tern European
 countries-including the Czech Republic and Poland-


Updated October 28,2020


harder than the first wave. Although ris ing new infections
may be due partly to increased testing, the second surge
follows the relaxation ofrestrictions on social and
economic activity in many European countries over the
summer  and the onsetof colder weather. To date, death
rates across Europe appear lower than during the first wave,
but many public health officials predict these rates may
climb, given the rise in cases and hospitalizations.

European Responses
In March 2020, in response to the first wave of the
pandemic, nearly all European governments imposed
national lockdown restrictions and social-distancing
measures-including  banning large gatherings, closing
schools and nonessential businesses, and restricting
movement-although   these measures varied by country in
strictness and other aspects. Most European governments
also enacted nationalborder controls. Swedentooka
notably different approach that trusted citizens to practice
social distancing and imposed few mandatory restrictions;
some public health experts remain skeptical about this
policy's success in building immunity among the general
public and contend it failed to protect the mostvulnerable.
European governments began implementing phased
reopeningplans in mid-Apriland early May 2020. Most
European leaders stressed the need for continued social
distancing, and many governments required the use of
facemasks, especially indoors.

The pandemic has spurred serious economic difficulties
throughout Europe. For 2020, the EU forecasts its total
economy  will contract by 8.3% and average unemployment
across the bloc will rise to 9%. The UK's economy entered
into recession inAugust2020. Measures enacted by
European governments to mitigate the economic downturn
include loan programs and credit guarantees for companies,
income subsidies for affected workers, taxdeferrals, and
debt repayment deferments.

As COVID-19  cases began to increase again in early fall,
European governments initially attemptedto avoid asecond
round ofnationallockdowns, opting insteadfor targeted
restrictions onregionalorlocalvirus hot spotsto
preserve economic recovery andin light of growing
pandemic fatigue and public protests. Mostgovernments
have kept schools open, but many havebeen implementing
progressively more restrictivemeasures. These measures
have included, for example, imposing curfews, closing or
restricting the operation of restaurants and bars, further
limiting social gatherings, and expanding mandatory mask
usage. By the end of October, Belgium, the Czech
Republic, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Spain, and
others had reimposednational restrictions, although
measures in some countries are less stringent than during
the first wave.

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