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Europe, COVID-19, and U.S. Relations


August 28, 2020


COVlD-19 in Erope
Like most of the rest of the world, European governments
and the European Union (EU) have struggled to manage the
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)  pandemic.
European leaders have characterized the pandemic as
Europe's biggest challenge since the Second World War,
with potentially far-reaching political, social, and economic
consequences beyond the public health impact. COVID-19
also has added new tensions to an already strained U.S.-
European partnership. Members of Congress may be
interested in COVID-19's implications for U.S. relations
with Europe, including in NATO and with the EU, and in
how the pandemic might alter certain U.S.-European
dynamics, especially vis-4-vis China.


As of late August 2020, about 2 million confirmed COVID-
19 infections and over 183,000 deaths had been reported
across the 27-member EU, the United Kingdom (UK),
Norway, and Switzerland (out of a combined population of
roughly 527 million). As seen in Table 1, Spain, the UK,
France, and Italy have experienced the largest number of
infections, and several European countries have case
fatality rates of over 10%. Although the first wave of the
pandemic in Europe occurred in spring 2020, many
policymakers are wary about the potential for a second
wave amid upticks in new cases in some European
countries and regions.

Table  I. COVID-19  Cases and  Deaths in Europe:
Top  10 Affected Countries
(by number of cases, as of August 2020)

                                   Deaths      Case
   Country      Cases    Deaths      per      Fatality
                                   100,000     Rates

 Spain          429,507    28,996     62.06      6.8%
 UK             332,509    41,564     62.51      12.5%
 France         297,485    30,581     45.65      10.3%
 Italy          263,949    35,463     58.68      I 3.4%
 Germany        240,571     9,290     I 1.20     3.9%
 Sweden          83,898     5,820     57.15      6.9%
 Belgium         83,500     9,884     86.53      11.8%
 Romania         83,150     3,459     17.76      4.2%
 Netherlands     70,984     6,244     36.24      8.8%
 Poland          64,689     2,010      5.29      3.1%
 Source: Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Coronavirus
 Resource Center, August 28, 2020, updated daily at
 https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/.


European Responses
In March 2020, nearly all European governments imposed
lockdown restrictions and social-distancing measures-
including banning large gatherings, closing schools and
nonessential businesses, and restricting movement-
although these measures varied in strictness and other
aspects by country. France, Italy, and Spain instituted some
of the most severe restrictions, especially related to
nonessential movement and outdoor activity. Most
European governments enacted national border controls;
some, such as Germany, Denmark, Hungary, and Spain,
largely restricted entry to citizens or permanent residents.
Sweden  took a notably different approach that trusted
citizens to practice social distancing and imposed few
mandatory restrictions, but many public health experts are
skeptical about this policy's success in building immunity
among  the general public and contend that it failed to
protect the most vulnerable, such as the elderly.
In mid-April 2020, attention across Europe began turning to
implementing phased reopening plans while guarding
against a resurgence of the virus. Most European leaders
stress the need for continued social distancing. Numerous
countries are requiring facemasks on public transport and/or
in shops and other indoor spaces. Many governments,
including those of Denmark, France, Germany, Italy,
Poland, Spain, and the UK, have sought to establish
extensive testing and contact-tracing capacities, and some
have developed contact-tracing mobile apps to supplement
traditional approaches. The use of such apps has raised
questions about balancing public health concerns and
privacy rights.
Most European countries are expected to suffer major
economic shocks due to the pandemic. For 2020, the EU
forecasts its total economy will contract by 8.3% and
average unemployment  across the bloc will rise to 9%. The
UK's  economy entered into recession in August 2020.
Measures enacted by European governments to mitigate the
economic downturn  include loan programs and credit
guarantees for companies, income subsidies for affected
workers, tax deferrals, and debt repayment deferments.


Although national governments retain control over most
aspects of health policy, the EU has sought to play a leading
role in managing the European response to the pandemic.
Critics contend the EU lacked a coherent plan in the early
stages of the crisis and member states initially pursued
disparate strategies, but many analysts assess that the EU
has made progress in overcoming internal discord. The EU
coordinated the imposition of bloc-wide travel restrictions
on most foreign visitors (as well as the gradual lifting of
such restrictions); worked to ensure the provision of
sufficient personal protective equipment (PPE) and other


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