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USMCA: Investment Provisions


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Updated January 8, 2020


The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is
a proposed free trade agreement (FTA) that, if approved by
Congress and ratified by Canada and Mexico, would
replace the North American Free Trade Agreement
(NAFTA). USMCA would retain NAFTA's market-
opening measures while adding or updating provisions in
areas such as digital trade, intellectual property rights, and
worker rights. The proposed agreement would make notable
changes to NAFTA's investment provisions mainly
qualifying basic investor protections and limiting the degree
to which foreign investors can bring complaints against
their host states under the investor-state dispute settlement
(ISDS) mechanism. ISDS claims with Canada would be
phased out entirely; those with Mexico would be more
restricted than under NAFTA. Given the significant
changes proposed and the importance of U.S. investment
ties with Canada and Mexico, USMCA's investment
provisions are an active part of congressional debate over
the USMCA.

NAFTA ,.-   vPtfl          ,4ts\9oms
Enacted in 1994, NAFTA removed investment barriers,
ensured basic investment protections, and provided
mechanisms for the settlement of disputes over
commitments in the agreement. Since NAFTA entered into
force, the stock of foreign direct investment (FDI) between
the United States and its NAFTA partners has increased
dramatically, although it is difficult to determine whether
the increase was the result of NAFTA or other factors
(Figure 1). In 2018, Canada and Mexico ranked fifth and
thirteenth, respectively, as destinations for U.S. FDI and
second and twenty-first as sources of FDI in the United
States.
In response to criticism that NAFTA's investment
protections were too broad, subsequent U.S. trade and
investment agreements clarified certain provisions and
added new transparency requirements. The proposed
USMCA would continue some of these trends.
Additionally, the proposed USMCA would place new limits
on access to ISDS mechanisms. In general, these changes
limit the kinds of claims that foreign investors are able to
bring in response to domestic regulations.

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USMCA's investment chapter defines investment more
broadly than NAFTA and echoes the language of more
recent U.S. FTAs. Whereas NAFTA enumerates what
qualifies as an investment, the proposed USMCA defines
an investment as an asset that an investor owns or controls
that has the characteristics of an investment such as the
commitment of capital or other resources, the expectation
of gain or profit, or the assumption of risk. It then
enumerates a nonexhaustive list of examples that could
include enterprises, stocks, bonds, derivatives, intellectual
property, licenses, or other tangible or intangible property.


Figure I. U.S. FDI Positions with NAFTA Partners


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Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Hist. Cost Basis, 1993-2018.


The proposed USMCA contains many of the same core
investment provisions as NAFTA, but with new
qualifications and provisions that reflect more recent U.S.
trade and investment agreements. New limits are placed on
what provisions are eligible for ISDS, compared to NAFTA
and past U.S. FTAs.
Minimum Standard of Treatment (MST). Like NAFTA,
the proposed USMCA would require that each party accord
covered investments treatment in accordance with
customary international law. However, the proposed
agreement would add new clarifications, stating that the
concepts of fair and equitable treatment (due process) and
full protection and security (police protection) do not
require treatment in addition to or beyond the minimum
standard treatment of aliens under customary international
law. Previously, some ISDS tribunals had suggested
otherwise. The proposed USMCA would further clarify that
an action, such as the implementation of a new regulation,
would not be a breach of MST simply because it was
inconsistent with an investor's expectations.
National Treatment and Most-Favored-Nation (MFN)
Treatment. Like NAFTA and other U.S. FTAs, the
proposed USMCA would include nondiscrimination
provisions, requiring that each country accord the investors
and investments of another country treatment no less
favorable than that it accords, in like circumstances, to its
own investors or the investors of any other country
throughout the lifecycle of the investment. However, the
proposed USMCA adds further language noting that
whether treatment is accorded in like circumstances
depends on the totality of the circumstances, including
whether the treatment at issue distinguishes between
investors or investments based on legitimate public welfare
objectives.
Expropriation and Compensation. Like NAFTA, the
proposed USMCA states that expropriation may only occur


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