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May 23, 2017


Autonomous Vehicles: Emerging Policy Issues


The advent of autonomous vehicles is often discussed in the
context of safety. While many new technologies already are
making vehicles safer, auto manufacturers view them as
building blocks to vehicles that can travel and park
themselves without a driver's intervention. Autonomous
vehicles (AVs) may transform expectations of mobility by
raising new possibilities for millions of people, including
the disabled, elderly, youth, and people who do not own a
car. In addition to broadening the population served, AVs
could bring lower accident rates and make travel more
efficient than traditional motor vehicles. How quickly AVs
will evolve will ultimately depend on the choices federal,
state, and local governments make to encourage their use
and application.

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Many new technologies, whether mandated by federal
regulators or developed by automakers, have translated
incrementally into safer motor vehicles. The introduction of
new vehicle technologies has accelerated in the past decade,
moving toward much more vehicle automation and a long-
term goal of a fully autonomous vehicle. Congress and
federal regulators are considering how to encourage such
advancements. They generally recognize that the traditional
regulatory process is long and could adversely affect
innovation and the introduction of these technologies.

A range of advanced driver assistance systems is being
introduced to motor vehicles, many of them bringing
automation to vehicular functions once performed only by
the driver. These features automate lighting and braking,
connect the car and driver to the Global Positioning System
(GPS) and smartphones, and keep the vehicle in the correct
lane. Mary Barra, chairman and CEO of General Motors,
has observed that the auto industry will change more in the
next five to 10 years than it has in the last 50. There are
three forces driving motor vehicle innovation:

* technological advances enabled by new materials and
   more powerful, compact electronics;

* consumer demand for telecommunications connectivity
   and new types of vehicle ownership and ridesharing;
   and

* regulatory mandates pertaining to emissions, fuel
   efficiency, and safety.

Increasingly, such innovations are being combined as
manufacturers produce vehicles with higher levels of
automation. Vehicles do not fall neatly into two categories
of automated and nonautomated, because all of today's
motor vehicles have some element of automation. The
Society of Automotive Engineers International (SAE), an


international standards-setting organization, has developed
six categories of vehicle automation-ranging from a
human driver doing everything to automated systems
performing all the tasks a driver does. This classification
system has been adopted by the U.S. Department of
Transportation (USDOT) to foster standardized
nomenclature to aid clarity and consistency in discussions
about growing vehicle automation and safety.

All vehicles sold today are in the lowest two tiers of SAE's
automation rating system. Views differ as to how long it
may take for full automation to become standard, with some
forecasting market-ready AVs in five years. Others argue
that it will take much longer, as more testing, regulation,
and policy work should be done before AVs are widely
deployed.

Technologies that could guide an AV (Figure 1) include a
wide variety of electronic sensors that would determine the
distance between the vehicle and obstacles; detect lane
markings, pedestrians, and bicycles; park the vehicle; GPS,
Inertial Navigation System, and a system of built-in maps to
guide the vehicle direction and location; cameras that
provide 360-degree views around the vehicle; and
Dedicated Short-Range Communication (DSRC) to monitor
road conditions, congestion, crashes, and possible rerouting.
These technologies are being adapted separately, while
manufacturers learn how to combine them in vehicles that
could safely transport passengers without drivers.

Figure I. Autonomous Vehicle Technologies

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     Prebuilt
     Maps

                                         Infrared
   Dedicated Short-Range Inertiangtin    Sensors
   Eornyrwniation (DSRC)

Source: CRS, based on Autonomous Vehicles' fact sheet, Center
for Sustainable Systems University of Michigan.

Educating the public about AVs appears to be a major
element in determining their eventual success. A 2015
Boston Consulting Group survey found that less than half
of respondents would buy a fully autonomous vehicle, but
55% are interested in a partially autonomous vehicle;


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