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1 [1] (December 19, 2019)

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Updated December 19, 2019


Algeria


Large peaceful protests forced Algeria's long-standing
president to resign in early 2019 and continue to prompt
questions about the country's political stability and future.
Abdelmadjid Tebboune was declared the winner of
presidential elections held on December 12, with
historically low turnout of 40%. A previous cabinet
minister and prime minister (for a short time in 2017),
Tebboune ran as an independent and is seen by some
observers as close to military leaders; Algeria's two largest
political parties endorsed a rival candidate. Protesters have
continued to take to the streets, decrying the election
process as illegitimate, Tebboune as representing political
continuity, and military leaders for steering the transition
process in recent months. Dozens of protesters have been
arrested since mid-2019 on various, often vague charges.
Police and protesters clashed violently on election day.
The protests began in February 2019, sparked by then-
President Abdelaziz Bouteflika's decision to seek a fifth
term despite his evident ill health and advanced age (81), in
a vote then due in April. Bouteflika withdrew from the race
in March, then resigned on April 2 after military chief of
staff General Ahmed Gaid Salah (a onetime ally) called for
his impeachment. Law enforcement has since arrested
prominent business, military intelligence, and political party
figures on corruption and state security charges.
A presidential vote was initially scheduled for July 2019,
then canceled when the Constitutional Council disqualified
the two candidates who had registered. General Gaid Salah,
who has positioned himself as a power broker without
explicitly seizing control, strongly backed the December 12
election date and process, and characterizing protests as the
dangerous product of outside interference.


Algeria remained politically stable amid regional turmoil
between 2011 and 2018, but the prospect of an uncertain
leadership transition loomed as members of the
revolutionary generation that fought for independence
from France aged. A strong presidency and security
apparatus, a state-centric economy with an emerging
oligarchic business class, and social welfare programs
fueled by oil and natural gas revenues have defined the
political system. Decisionmaking under Bouteflika was
often opaque, with politicians, security officials, and
business leaders reportedly wielding influence. This system
brought relative stability and living standard improvements
to a country wracked by violence in the 1990s. In recent
years, however, analysts observed political paralysis due
to a lack of elite consensus over the post-Bouteflika era.
Bouteflika was first elected president in 1999 with military
backing, as Algeria's decade-long conflict with Islamist
armed groups was waning. He introduced reconciliation
initiatives and sought to exert greater control over the army
and intelligence service.


Figure I. Algeria at a Glance
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Sources: CRS graphic; data from CIA World Factbook + IMF (2018).
The bicameral parliament is institutionally weak and
dominated by two parties: the National Liberation Front
(FLN), which led the fight for independence and was the
sole legal party for decades, and the National Rally for
Democracy (RND), considered close to the military. Both
parties formally backed former Minister of Culture
Azzedine Mihoubi in the December 2019 presidential race,
who lost. The political opposition is diverse and divided,
comprising leftist, Islamist, Berber-led, and regionally
focused groups. Many parties exhibit internal divisions.
Some analysts argue that political Islam has been
discredited in Algeria due to Islamists' role in the 1990s
civil conflict, or aternatively due to some Islamist
politicians' accommodation with the state. The Islamic
Salvation Front (FIS), whose rapid electoral gains in 1991
sparked a military coup and the subsequent conflict,
remains banned. Religiously conservative Salafist social
movements have grown in prominence since the conflict.




2011. Th ovenm en alornkd-aialztoporm
Cells linked to Al Qaeda and the Islamic State (IS) are
reportedly active in some areas, but the pace of terrorist
attacks has continuously decreased since the early 2000s.
State security forces conduct frequent counterterrorism
operations, and they have bolstered their presence in border
regions since the outbreak of wars in Libya and Mali in
2011. The government also runs de-radicalization programs
and has sought to control the content of religious sermons.
Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), a regional
network, originated as a faction in Algeria's 1990s conflict
and aligned itself with Al Qaeda in 2006. AQIM's leader
reportedly remains based in northeast Algeria, but the
group's center of gravity has moved south and east over the
past decade. An AQIM splinter faction claimed an assault
in 2013 on a natural gas plant in southeast Algeria in which
39 foreigners (including three Americans) were killed. In
2017, AQIM's southern branch joined a Malian-led
coalition known as the Group for Supporting Islam and
Muslims (JNIM after its transliterated Arabic name). AQIM
elements and offshoots are also active in Libya and Tunisia.

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