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1 [1] (October 23, 2019)

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       ° Congressional Research Service


             Informig t   Ieslatve debaM1 s1ce 1914




Defense Primer: Emerging Technologies


Senior U.S. defense and intelligence officials have
identified a number of emerging technologies that could
have a disruptive impact on U.S. national security in the
years to come. These technologies include
* artificial intelligence,
* lethal autonomous weapons,
* hypersonic weapons,
* directed-energy weapons,
* biotechnology, and
* quantum technology.
As these technologies continue to mature, they could hold
significant implications for congressional oversight, U.S.
defense authorizations and appropriations, military concepts
of operations, and the future of war.

Artificial Intelligence
Artificial intelligence (AI) refers to a computer system
capable of human-level cognition. AI is currently being
incorporated into a number of military applications,
including intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance;
logistics; defensive cyber operations; command and control;
and semi-autonomous and autonomous vehicles. As it
develops, AI could enable new concepts of operations, such
as swarming (i.e., cooperative behavior in which
uninhabited vehicles autonomously coordinate to achieve a
task), that could present both challenges and opportunities
for the U.S. military.

Recent news reports and analyses have highlighted the role
of AI in enabling increasingly realistic photo, audio, and
video digital forgeries, popularly known as deep fakes.
Adversaries could potentially deploy this AI capability as
part of their information operations in a gray zone
conflict. Deep fake technology could be used against the
United States and its allies to generate false news reports,
influence public discourse, erode public trust, and attempt
to blackmail diplomats. Some have suggested that AI could
be used to create full digital patterns-of-life, in which an
individual's digital footprint is mapped against other
personal information, such as spending habits and job
history, to create comprehensive behavioral profiles of
servicemembers, suspected intelligence officers,
government officials, and private citizens. Similar to deep
fakes, this information could, in turn, be used for targeted
influence operations or blackmail.

To coordinate defense-wide Al efforts, the Pentagon
established the Joint Artificial Intelligence Center (JAIC,
pronounced jake) in June 2018 under the Department of
Defense's (DOD's) Chief Information Officer. In addition,
the FY2019 National Defense Authorization Act (P.L. 115-


Updated October 23, 2019


232, § 1051) established a National Security Commission on
Artificial Intelligence to assess U.S. competitiveness in Al
and offer recommendations to Congress.

Lethal Autonomous Weapons
Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS) are a class
of weapon systems capable of independently identifying a
target and employing an onboard weapon system to engage
and destroy the target without manual human control.
LAWS require computer algorithms and sensor suites to
classify an object as hostile, make an engagement decision,
and guide a weapon to the target. This capability would
enable the system to operate in communications-degraded
or -denied environments where traditional systems may not
be able to operate.

LAWS generally do not yet exist, and some senior military
and defense leaders have expressed concerns about the
ethics of ever fielding such systems. For example, in 2017
testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee,
Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Paul
Selva stated, I do not think it is reasonable for us to put
robots in charge of whether or not we take a human life.
Currently, there are no domestic or international legal
prohibitions on the development of LAWS; however, an
international group of government experts has begun to
discuss the issue. Approximately 25 countries have called
for a preemptive ban on the systems due to ethical
considerations, while others have called for formal
regulation. DOD Directive 3000.09 establishes department
guidelines for the development and fielding of LAWS to
ensure that they comply with the law of war, applicable
treaties, weapon system safety rules, and applicable rules of
engagement.

Hypersonic Weapons
Hypersonic weapons-which fly at speeds of at least Mach
5-are in development in a number of countries, including
the United States. There are two categories of hypersonic
weapons:

* Hypersonic glide vehicles (HGV) are launched from a
   rocket before gliding to a target.

* Hypersonic cruise missiles (HCM) are powered by
   high-speed engines throughout the duration of their
   flight.

In contrast to ballistic missiles, hypersonic weapons do not
follow a ballistic trajectory and can maneuver en route to
their destination, making defense against them difficult.
Currently, no such defense against hypersonic weapons
exists, and experts disagree on the affordability,
technological feasibility, and utility of hypersonic missile


htops:!crsreports~cong --ssq_

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