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Congressional.
Research Service
, hforming the Iegisative debate since 1914


Global Trade Imbalances: Overview and

Issues



August 21, 2019

On July 17, 2019, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) published its annual report on global trade that
identifies countries with excessive current account balances-both surpluses and deficits-and
exchange rates that are misaligned. The current account is a broad measure of a country's global
economic engagement and is comprised of trade in goods, services, and official flows. By definition,
surpluses or deficits in one country are offset by deficits or surpluses in other countries such that the
global current account balance nets to zero (including statistical discrepancy), as indicated in Figure 1.
The IMF report indicates that 35% to 45% of countries had balances that were excessive, and that
balances of about 3.0% of world gross domestic product (GDP)-both surpluses and deficits-remained
relatively constant in 2018. Advanced economies, particularly the United States and the United Kingdom,
account for the largest share of negative balances, or deficits, while China's positive current account and
exchange rate were deemed to be in line with fundamentals. Other trade specialists argue that extensive
cross-border capital flows have reduced the usefulness of the current account as a monitoring device and
that policy prescriptions based on current account balances-and trade balances as the largest component
of the current account-may be counterproductive.


















                                                               Congressional Research Service
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