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              Congressional
            *.Research Service






Currency Manipulation and Countervailing

Duties



June   24, 2019

The Trump Administration has proposed new actions to counter what it regards as currency manipulation,
with one analyst calling currency conflicts the next front in the trade war. In May 2019, the Commerce
Department issued a notice of proposed rulemaking to provide regulatory authority to potentially impose
countervailing duties on imports from countries determined by the U.S. government to be acting to
undervalue their currency relative to the U.S. dollar. Public comments on the proposed changes are being
accepted through June 27. Various Members of Congress have debated such a policy for years, including
in 2013 and 2015, but it is controversial and Congress has refrained from legislating it.

Currency Manipulation

For more than a decade, some policymakers and analysts have expressed concerns that U.S. exports and
jobs have been harmed by unfair exchange rate policies of other countries (currency manipulation).
They argue that other countries have purposefully weakened their currency relative to the dollar as a way
to boost exports, at the expense of U.S. firms and workers. A 2017 study estimates that other countries
manipulated their currencies to gain an unfair trade advantage in excess of $600 billion per year between
2003 and 2013. The study estimates that currency manipulation by other countries increased the U.S.
trade deficit by about $200 billion annually and cost more than 1 million jobs during and after the global
financial crisis (2009-2013).
The United States currently combats currency manipulation with unilateral and multilateral tools. Under
U.S. law, the Department of the Treasury produces a semiannual report on exchange rate policies in other
countries and, in specified instances, must initiate action against countries engaged in currency
manipulation. The United States has also pushed against currency manipulation through the G-7 and the
G-20, multilateral forums where major economies discuss and coordinate economic policies. The United
States is also a member of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), an international organization through
which countries have committed to refrain from currency manipulation, although there are questions
about the IMF's ability to enforce currency commitments.




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