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Con gressional Research Service
I on j th legislative debate s 'ice 19 4


Updated November 27, 2018


Ethiopia


Ethiopia is Africa's fastest growing economy, its second
most populous country, and its oldest independent state. It
plays a key leadership role in the region. For the United
States, Ethiopia is an important development and regional
security partner, but it has also been a source of concern
regarding human rights and political freedoms. Relations
have centered on efforts to alleviate humanitarian crises and
endemic poverty in the country as well as to respond to
instability and terrorist threats in the region. Ethiopia has
been plagued by recurrent drought and food insecurity, and
the United States is its leading humanitarian aid donor.
Ethiopia hosts the African Union (AU) and is the world's
largest troop contributor to U.N. peacekeeping operations.
Its peacekeepers play a lead role along the volatile Sudan-
South Sudan border and in the U.N. Missions in Darfur and
South Sudan. Ethiopia also plays a critical role in efforts to
counter the Al Qaeda-linked group Al Shabaab in Somalia.
As a member of the East African Intergovernmental
Authority on Development (IGAD), Ethiopia has hosted
various regional peace negotiations. It hosts one of Africa's
largest refugee populations: almost a million refugees from
South Sudan, Somalia, Eritrea, and Sudan.
Ethnic and political tensions have spurred concerns about
Ethiopia's stability in recent years. A violent crackdown on
protests in its populous Oromia and Anhara regions that
began in late 2015 resulted in hundreds of deaths. The
government placed additional restrictions on expression and
assembly under a state of emergency imposed from October
2016 to August 2017; over 20,000 people were detained.
The protests quieted briefly but surged again in late 2017,
increasing pressure on the government. Ethnic violence also
flared in parts of the country: over two million people have
been displaced by conflict since mid-2017. The government
pledged reforms and in early 2018 released hundreds of
jailed regime critics. The pace of change quickened after
the election of a new prime minister, Dr. Abiy Ahmed, who
has commenced political and economic reforms and
diplomatic efforts that could be transformative for the
country. Resistance from hardliners and simmering ethnic
tensions pose potential challenges to his reform agenda.

Background
Diplomatic relations between the United States and
Ethiopia, one of two African countries that avoided colonial
rule, date back over one hundred years. In the 20th century,
Ethiopia's politics were largely dominated by three leaders.
Emperor Haile Selassie ruled from 1930 to 1974, when he
was deposed by a socialist military junta known as the
Derg. Led by Mengistu Haile Mariam, the Derg was
implicated in massive human rights abuses and policies that
contributed to a famine in which hundreds of thousands
died. In 1991, the Ethiopian Peoples' Revolutionary
Democratic Front (EPRDF), a coalition of ethnically based
opposition groups, overthrew the Derg and took power.


Figure I. Ethiopia: Key Facts


Source: CRS map. Facts from CIA and IMF reference databases.
EPRDF leader Meles Zenawi, head of state from 1991 until
his death in 2012, was a powerful figure in Ethiopian and
regional politics. He was credited with spearheading
Ethiopia's rapid economic growth over the past 15 years.
However, as leader of both the EPRDF (now an alliance of
four ethno-regional parties) and one of its components, the
Tigray Peoples' Liberation Front (TPLF), he also was
accused by critics of stifling dissent and ensuring that his
minority Tigray ethnic group dominated the government.

Current Political Context
Meles' successor, Hailemariam Desalegn, surprised many
when he resigned in early 2018, to pave the way for
reforms. Abiy Ahmed was elected in late March to replace
him, both as EPRDF chairman and as prime minister. At
42, he is Africa's youngest leader. An ethnic Oromo and
military veteran, Abiy has announced a range of initiatives
to reduce divisions, both within the county and with
neighboring Eritrea. Even many critics of the EPRDF have
responded with cautious optimism to the release of
hundreds of political opponents from prison, changes to the
leadership of the security services, an end to the state of
emergency, and Abiy's outreach to opposition groups.
Civic activists argue, though, that substantive reforms are
needed before elections, scheduled for 2020, are held.
A tradition of authoritarian rule has impeded participatory
democracy in Ethiopia, despite regular elections since the
overthrow of the Derg. The EPRDF has dominated
elections since 1995. Polls in 2005 were marred by
violence, with an estimated 200 people killed by security
forces during post-election protests and the detention of
thousands of opposition members, journalists, and civic
activists. In 2010, the EPRDF won 99.6% of the votes in
elections that were generally peaceful but deemed unfair by
U.S. and European monitors and governments. The EPRDF
won all 546 legislative seats and all but 21 of 1,987 regional
state council seats in the most recent polls, in 2015. AU
observers called them technically satisfactory but noted
concerns with laws limiting civic participation.


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