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CRS INSIGHT


Economic Impact of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma

October 2, 2017 (IN10793)




Related Author







Jeffrey M. Stupak, Analyst in Macroeconomic Policy (jstupakcrsLocgov, 7-2344)

In recent weeks, multiple southern states and U.S. territories have experienced significant property damage and loss of
life as a result of severe hurricanes, including Harvey, Irma, and Maria. This Insight will focus on the economic impact
of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, as the impact of Hurricane Maria is still unfolding in Puerto Rico. Hurricane Harvey
first made landfall in Texas on August 25 as a category 4 storm, before stalling for a number of days above south and
southeast Texas delivering torrential downpours. Hurricane Irma made landfall in the Florida Keys as a category 4
storm on September 10 after sweeping through the Caribbean, impacting multiple other countries and U.S. territories. A
combination of strong winds and widespread flooding, resulting from strong rains and storm surges, have disrupted
large communities in the South and South East and resulted in widespread property damage.

Damage to property often gets significant media attention following a hurricane, but it is not the only impact on
economic activity. Property damage affects the overall capital stock, which is used in the production of goods and
services, but does not itself factor into gross domestic product (GDP), as GDP is a measure of the flow of goods and
services produced. Severe storms often dampen economic activity in the short term by disrupting the consumption and
production of goods and services. Severe weather impacts the consumption of goods because of limited mobility and
availability of these goods during the event. Advance figures from the Cenus Bur= show that retail sales decreased
by 0.2% in August, after rising 0.3% in the previous month. Severe weather can also impact the production of goods and
services by damaging machinery, disrupting the local labor supply, and disrupting national supply chains.

In the medium term, severe storms often result in a rebound in economic activity as rebuilding begins and businesses
resume production that may erase any loss in economic output resulting from the storm. After a major disaster, there are
numerous government programs that distribute aid to those affected. Additionally, many individuals and businesses
begin to receive insurance payments in the months following natural disasters. The spending of government aid and
insurance payments can result in a significant boost to economic activity.

For a number of reasons, the negative impacts of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma on economic activity are likely to be
larger than average due to the amount of damage to property, the duration of the storms, the populous nature of the areas
affected, and the concentration of energy industries in the area affected, particularly with respect to Harvey. Hurricanes
H~n~ and Im~a are estimated to have each caused between $42.5 billion to $65 billion in property damage, amounting
to between 0.2%-0.3% of GDP, making these storms among the m  rie a         r n   r in the post-
WWII period. While property damage is not explicitly factored into economic output (GDP), more damage is generally

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