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CRS INSIGHT


The Dutch Parliamentary Elections: Outcome and

Implications

March 20, 2017 (IN10672)




Related Author


     Kristin Archick




Kristin Archick, Specialist in European Affairs (karshick  rs loc.gov, 7-2668)

The March 15, 2017, parliamentary elections in the Netherlands garnered considerable attention as the first in a series of
European contests this year in which populist, antiestablishment parties have been poised to do well, with possibly
significant implications for the future of the European Union (EU). For many months, opinion polls projected an
electoral surge for the far-right, anti-immigrant, anti-EU Freedom Party (PVV), led by Geert Wilders. Many in tE
wer rlievdwhen the PVV fell short and the center-right, pro-EU People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD),
led by incumbent Prime Minister Mark Rutte, retained its position as the largest party in the Dutch parliament. Several
commentators suggest that the Dutch outcome may be a sign that populism in Europe and euroskeptism about the EU
are starting to lose momentum, but others remain cautious about drawing such conclusions yet.

Election Results

The Dutch political scene has become increasingly fragmented; 28 political parties competed in the 221ltions for
the 150-seat Second Chamber, the lower-but more powerful-house of the Dutch parliament. Concerns about
immiraion naiona ini       and the ro  f I  ain th    herln   (approximately 5.5% of the country's 17 million
people are Muslim) dominated the campaigning. The VVD came in first, with 33 seats, but lost roughly one-fifth of its
previous total. The PVV finished second, with 20 seats, making modest gains on its 2012 election results but not
performing as well as expected. The center-left Labor Party (PvdA)-the VVD's former coalition partner-suffered
huge losses, largely because of anger among its base over compromises on various issues (including austerity measures
and health care reforms) while in government.

Analysts contend that the high voter turnout (over 80%) and Prime Minister Rutte's tough response to a diplomatic spat
with Turkey in the final days of the campaign benefitted the VVD. Some note that even before the conflict with Turkey,
Rutte and the VVD were   kin frher righ in an attempt to stem the PVV's advances. Unease among Dutch voters
following the 2016 referendum in the United Kingdom in favor of leaving the EU (or Brexit) and the election of U.S.
President Donald Trump-both fueled, in part, by populist, antiestablishment sentiments-may have produced acnd
thoughts about supporting Wilders and the PVV. Fears of hacking and interference by foreign entities (including Russia)
prompted Dutch authorities to forego Omuters and count all ballots by hand.

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