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1 1 (October 31, 2002)

handle is hein.crs/crsmthaaavg0001 and id is 1 raw text is: Order Code RS21336
Updated October 31, 2002
CRS Report for Congress
Received through the CRS Web
Iraq: The Turkish Factor
Carol Migdalovitz
Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
Summary
Turkey will likely be pivotal to any U.S. military operation against Iraq, but it has
many concerns. Foremost, it seeks to preserve Iraq's territorial integrity and prevent the
emergence of a Kurdish state in northern Iraq. It wants its linguistic/ethnic kin in that
region, the Iraqi Turkomans, to be fairly represented in a future government. Turkey
also is worried about the economic consequences of a war, especially since it is just
recovering from a devastating recession. Finally, it is concerned about the possibilities
for a humanitarian refugee crisis and regional instability. The Bush Administration is
consulting closely with Turkish officials to assuage their concerns and has provided
increased economic assistance while attempting to enhance trade through (free trade)
qualified industrial zones in H.R. 5385. Turkey expects still greater rewards for its
support. See also CRS Report RL31429, Turkey: Issues for U.S. Policy and CRS Report
RL31339, Iraq: U.S. Efforts to Change the Regime. This report will be updated if
developments warrant.
Introduction
Turkey, a long time NATO ally of the United States which borders on Iraq, will
likely be pivotal to any U.S. military operation against Iraq. It is assumed that the United
States would like to use Turkey's air space, the large air base at Incirlik in southeast
Turkey, and probably other airbases at Batman, Diyarbakir, or Malatya that are closer to
the Iraqi border. Additionally, access to the Mediterranean port of Mersin and the sharing
of intelligence may be on the U.S. wish list. For its part, the Turkish government is
uneasy about U.S. plans. Turks argue that theirs is the country that will be most affected
by a war and oppose it for a variety of reasons. (See the following section.) Turkish
officials have pressed Saddam Hussein to implement U.N. resolutions and readmit
weapons inspectors in order to prevent a military intervention. They also have urged the
United States to obtain what they view as international legitimacy through a resolution
authorizing the use of force from the United Nations Security Council. Despite
misgivings, some Turks appear increasingly reconciled to a U.S. military campaign and
advocate exacting a high price from the United States in exchange for support. A few
suggest that Turkey's armed forces participate actively alongside Americans to ensure that
Turkey has a determining say about northern Iraq's future.
Congressional Research Service + The Library of Congress

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