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1 1 (February 29, 2008)

handle is hein.crs/crsajqg0001 and id is 1 raw text is: Order Code RS22742
Updated February 29, 2008
Cuba's Political Succession:
From Fidel to Rauil Castro
Mark P. Sullivan
Specialist in Latin American Affairs
Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division
Summary
Cuba's political succession from Fidel Castro to his brother Radl has been
characterized by a remarkable degree of stability. On February 24, 2008, Cuba's
legislature selected Rail as President of the 31-member Council of State, a position that
officially made him Cuba's head of government and state. Most observers expected this
since Rail already had been heading the Cuban government on a provisional basis since
July 2006 when Fidel stepped down as President because of poor health. On February
19, 2008, Fidel had announced that he would not accept the position of President of the
Council of State. Cuba's stable political succession from one communist leader to
another raises questions about the future direction of U.S. policy, which currently can
be described as a sanctions-based policy that ties the easing of sanctions to democratic
change in Cuba. For developments in U.S. policy toward Cuba, see CRS Report
RL33819, Cuba: Issues for the 110th Congress; and CRS Report RL31139, Cuba: U.S.
Restrictions on Travel and Remittances. For background and analysis in the aftermath
of Fidel Castro's stepping down from power in July 2006, see CRS Report RL33622,
Cuba's Future Political Scenarios and U.S. Policy Approaches.
Cuban Developments
Stable Succession. Fidel Castro ceded provisional control of the government
and the Cuban Communist Party (PCC) to his brother Radl on July 31, 2006, because of
poor health. While initially many observers forecast Radl's assumption of power as
temporary, it soon became clear that a permanent succession of political power had
occurred. Fidel's health improved in 2007, but his condition remained weak, and most
observers believed that he would not resume his role as head of the Cuban government.
That proved true when on February 19, 2008, Fidel announced that he would not accept
the position of President of the Council of State when Cuba's legislature, the National
Assembly of People's Power, was scheduled to meet on February 24, 2008, to select from
among its ranks the members of the 31-member Council. Many observers expected Radl
to be selected by the legislature to be the next President, a role that he held provisionally
for the previous 19 months.

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