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1987 Washington Fiscal Watch [1] (1987)

handle is hein.tera/wasfishwa0004 and id is 1 raw text is: TAX FOUNDATION
ONE THOMAS CIRCLE, NW., WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-58OZ (202) 822-9050
WASHINGTON FISCAL WATCH
Latest Intelligence on Trends for Tax FoundatiOn Members
Washington, D.C. 6 P.M. January 29, 1987
Dear Member:
Bilious uncertainty, laced with fear, seems to be the ruling mood in the
national capital today. From the Power Centers at olppite eds of Pennsylvania
Avenue--
The White House is trapped in a classic case of Lase-duck blahe compounded by
growing suspicions and strains spawned by the Iran/Coztra caper.  It's a depressing
place in spots; a total turnabout from the bright hole of olY a few months ago.
President Reagan made a valiant effort to rally his tz!ue believers in his State of
the Union address, but insiders have been saying for Weeks -- as soon as the results
of the November 4 election came in, actually, and tile Iraa mess has deepened the
sentiment: This Administration is inoperative, for aLl practical purposes.
Congress is not much better off than the White House, though noisier about it,
as usual, with no settled agenda or course in sight at this writing. The Democrats,
in charge of both House and Senate, are still fightime behinad the scenes over two
dilemmas: First, choosing who, or what groups, will take the Party's decisions on
taxes and other important issues; and second, choosist what those decisions are to
be. A note of cheer in all this: From present sigz2s, including the personalities
and policy leanings (as distinct from stump-speech rhetoric) of the Democratic
Leaders and key Committee chairmen, moderate-to-consegvative causes have about as
many real friends now in high places as in the recer.t past* The moral we hear being
expressed is this: If you have a goal to win, or a disaster to head off, keep
trying, more than ever.
Tax outlook. Our best guess is that Congress wt   tighten up the tax system but
make no major new runs at your pocketbook in 1987.    on vhat we pick up around
Capitol Hill and the downtown agencies, Congress's tak schledUle this spring and next
summer shapes up as follows:
1. A number of Reagan revenue proposals will be OX'd after much posturing and
grumbling. RR wants to raise about $23.7 billion by aelling Off Federal assets
(loans, Conrail, oil reserves, etc.) for hopefully about $18.3 billion and get
another $5.4 billion from a swarm of nitpicking tax tightener5 in fiscal year 1988
(starts next October 1) including:
--$2.4 billion from expanded IRS enforcement measures backed by new computers
and a $600 million a year boost in IRS staff;
--$1.6 billion from Medicare Hospital Insurance taxes oo state/local government
workers not yet covered;
--$0.8 billion from repealing excise tax exemptions now available to bus
operators and others using diesel and gasohol vehicJae*
--$0.5 billion from Social Security taxes on mi-lktary reserviste, students, farm
workers, children employed by parents, spouses emplolyd bY the other spouse, plus
higher Social Security tax payments by restaurants st othiere On employees' tip
income;
--$0.1 billion from extending to 1989 a 0.22% tak on imports' values, just
imposed, which is now scheduled to decline to 0.17% o4 October 1.
Senate Finance Committee hearings start February 4 oD1 these proposals.

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