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1 Elsie M. Watters, State Tax and Fiscal Prospects, 1987 [i] (1987)

handle is hein.tera/tendaects0001 and id is 1 raw text is: Tax Foundation                                                            Washington, DC 20005
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State Tax and Fiscal Prospects, 1987
By Elsie M. Watters
Consulting Economist
Tax Foundation

The 49 states holding regular legislative sessions in
1987 are facing a heavy volume of tax bills tl it could
lead to a near-record level of statutory tax increases.
(Only Kentucky is not holding a regular session.)
Peending measures in 29 states would raise taxes by
between $7 billion and $8 billion annually, according to
a Tax Foundation survey in mid-March. If approved,
this would represent the biggest legislative increase in
revenues since the $8 billion increase in 1983.
According to proponents, the new revenues are
needed primarily to raise spending for public
education and highways, to offset revenue shortfalls
due to poor economic performance and declining oil
revenues, and to shore up state financial reserves.
Much of the activity involves state response to the
1986 changes in the Federal income tax law, to which
most state laws are linked to some extent. More than
two dozen states are expected to revise their income tax
laws. Most will return to taxpayers any excess taxes that
would result from their conformity with Federal law, but
some will take advantage of the windfall increases.
But the bulk of the new revenues sought will come
from other sources, chiefly general sales, motor fuels,
and cigarette taxes. Twenty-five states are weighing tax
increases that are unrelated to possible windfalls.
Only nine of those 25 states, plus four others, plan to
retain excess receipts from Federal tax revision.
The changes under consideration, by type of tax,
are summarized below, followed by a state-by-state
summary of proposed revisions.
Personal Income Taxes
Personal income taxes will be the most revised type
of tax in 1987. At least 22 states plan changes in their
laws, and another state - Alaska - may levy a new
income tax. Most of the states (19) will modify
exemptions, deductions, and/or state rates and
brackets so as to return all or a portion of the excess
taxes that would otherwise result from state linkages to
Federal law. These are: Arizona, California,
Connecticut, Delaware (part), Georgia (part), Hawaii,
Kansas (part), Maine, Maryland (part), Michigan,
Minnesota, Montana, New York, Ohio (already enacted
rate cuts in 1986), Oregon, South Carolina, Virginia
(most), West Virginia, and Wisconsin.
On the other hand, at least 11 states plan to retain
any windfall increases resulting from Federal tax
revision. Three of them - Arkansas, Indiana, and lowa
- would revise their laws to do so, either by linking
their taxes more closely to the Federal tax or by
updating earlier linkages. Eight others are already
linked to the current Federal Tax Code and need
take no action to avert the windfall. These are:
Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Louisiana, Missouri, New
Mexico, Oklahoma, and Utah.

In addition to action or inaction in response to the
Federal tax changes, several states plan base or rate
changes in personal income taxes: Illinois (higher
rates), New Mexico (limiting existing rebates), and
Utah (repealing deductibility of the Federal tax).
Reduction in rates (separate from action on the
windfall) may be approved in New York and in Rhode
Island (where the tax rate is linked to Federal tax
liability and has been adjusted to avoid a revenue loss).
North Dakota and Vermont have already raised
their tax rates to avoid losses and Nebraska is planning
other revisions to avoid losses.
Corporate Income Taxes
Fewer changes are under consideration concerning
the disposition of windfall increases in corporate
income taxes resulting from Federal tax reform. Two
states - Louisiana and Ohio - took action in 1986 to
avert any increases. In nine other states, governors
have proposed that excess receipts be returned to
taxpayers: Arizona, California, Maine, Montana, New
York, North Carolina (where legislators are unlikely to
go along), Oregon, South Carolina, and Wisconsin.
In another 12 states, governors and/or legislative
leaders are recommending that the states retain any
revenues resulting from Federal tax revision, often
along with changes requiring closer conformity with the
new Federal Tax Code. These are: Arkansas, Colorado,
Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota,
Missouri, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Utah.
General Sales Taxes
Ceneral sales taxes are likely to be the source of the
greatest revenue gains from legislation in 1987.
Montana, one of only five states without a general sales
tax, may enact one. Fourteen others expect to gain
more money from the sales tax, either thugh base-
broadening (sometimes coupled with rate cuts) or rate
increases. These include: Arkansas, Florida, Idaho,
Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota, Missouri, Oklahoma,
South Dakota. Texas, Utah, Vermont, Washington, and
West Virginia. Temporary increases in sales taxes may
be extended or made permanent in Idaho and Texas.
Motor Fuels Taxes
The need for added iighway funding is likely to
lead to legislative increa.es in motor fuels taxes in at
least 14 states. States considering such legislation
include: Alaska, Florida, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa,
Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana,
Nevada, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Utah. Texas
may extend a temporary increase.
Other Taxes
Seven states have reported plans to consider
cigarette tax hikes: Idaho, Iowa, Montana, Nebraska,

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