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40 Tax Features 1 (1996)

handle is hein.tera/taxfeaturs0040 and id is 1 raw text is: TAX FTON
FOUNDATION

Due to the Blizzard of '96, this news-
letter was a week late getting off the
press. We apologize for any inconve-
nience this has caused our readers.

TAX
January 1996 Volume 40, Number I
Social Security a Bad Deal for Baby Boomers
Chilean-Style Opt-Out Plan Would Enrich Investors

Most members of the baby-boom
generation - those people born between
1946 and 1964 - can expect to lose money
on Social Security when it is viewed as a

Chart 1: Annual Retirement Income for Average-Wage Couples:
Social Security Program v. Hypothetical Private Annuity

$120,000
$100,000
$80,000
$60,000
$40,000
$20,000
$0

2012      2015       2019      2023      2027       2031
Retirement Year

Source, Tax Foundation,

retirement investment. In fact, says a newly
published report by the Tax Foundation, the
negative returns will almost certainly become
worse if lawmakers enact traditional reforms
to keep the Social Security system from going
broke in the year 2029.
In his Special Report titled Social
Security: A Bleak Outlook for Baby Boomers,
Senior Economist Arthur P. Hall observes that
policymakers wrestling over how to save the
floundering Social Security trust fund must
avoid traditional approaches, such as
increased payroll taxes, reduced benefits, or
postponing the eligible retirement age. Such
reforms will make Social Security an even
worse deal for baby boomers-and the
generations that follow them-because they
each have the effect of raising the cost of
Social Security benefits, notes Dr. Hall. The
only productive alternative, he says, may be
to break with tradition and implement some
type of plan which permits taxpayers to opt
out of Social Security.
One way to understand the quality of the
baby-boom generation's Social Security
investment is to compare baby-boom couples'
expected annual after-tax Social Security
benefits with a hypothetical after-tax annuity
that they could have purchased with their
lifetime employer/employee payroll taxes.
Dr. Hall concludes that low-, middle-, and
high-income couple of that generation would
have been much wealthier if their payroll
Social Security continued on page 6

A New Tax System and Kitchen Table
Economics for America

Senator Phil Gramm (R-Texas)

4-5

I

FRNT

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